Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 21

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday


	Ursaria		Unión Adarve

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.1	2.7
	2.45	2.95	2.65
	2.5	3.1	2.8
	2.41	2.86	2.81
	2.55	2.83	3.07
	2.1	2.88	3.3
	2.42	3.13	2.9
	2.42	3.05	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.12)	2.99 ↑ (2.88)	2.88 ↓ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ursaria
37.9%

Draw
30.5%

Unión Adarve
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

31.2%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

30.3%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ursaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Unión Adarve has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unión Adarve's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ursaria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Adarve than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión Adarve, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ursaria - Unión Adarve Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out and 9).

Ursaria is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Unión Adarve is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ursaria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDE Ursaria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.01.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Ursaria	3:1 ✺
21.01.24	Ursaria - Mensajero	2:2 ✺
14.01.24	Getafe B - Ursaria	1:0 ✺
07.01.24	Villanovense - Ursaria	3:0 ✺
17.12.23	Ursaria - Navalcarnero	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLLW
- AD Unión Adarve
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.01.24	Unión Adarve - UD San Fernando	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	CD Guadalajara - Unión Adarve	2:1 ✺
14.01.24	Unión Adarve - Badajoz	3:1 ✺
07.01.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Unión Adarve	4:0 ✺
17.12.23	Unión Adarve - Mensajero	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
23.09.23	Unión Adarve - Ursaria	2:1

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