Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 16

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday


	Ursaria		Navalcarnero

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.3
	2.15	3	3
	2.25	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.31	3.05	3.24
	2.27	3.05	3.24
	2.18	3.04	3.18
	2.2	3.05	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.93)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	3.17 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ursaria
41.3%

Draw
29.9%

Navalcarnero
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

29.2%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

25.5%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ursaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ursaria's form might have worsened.

Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Ursaria - Navalcarnero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Ursaria will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDE Ursaria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.12.23	Numancia - Ursaria	3:0 ✺
03.12.23	Ursaria - Illescas	0:1 ✺
26.11.23	Atlético Paso - Ursaria	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	Ursaria - Llerenense	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Montijo - Ursaria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLTW
- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.12.23	Navalcarnero - UD San Fernando	0:1 ✺
03.12.23	CD Guadalajara - Navalcarnero	3:2 ✺
26.11.23	Navalcarnero - Unión Adarve	1:2 ✺
19.11.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Navalcarnero - Mensajero	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLTT

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