Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 19

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday


	Uruguay Montevideo		Artigas

	1	X	2
	1.87	2.9	4.1
	2.02	3.05	3.4
	2.13	3.27	3.57
	2.65	3.04	2.71	Watch
	2	3.13	3.59
	2.54	3.05	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.6)	3.07 ↑ (3)	3.34 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uruguay Montevideo
42.1%

Draw
30.1%

Artigas
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

30.2%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

29.2%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uruguay Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Uruguay Montevideo's performance.

Artigas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Artigas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Uruguay Montevideo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Artigas than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Artigas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Uruguay Montevideo - Artigas Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Uruguay Montevideo will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Artigas will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uruguay Montevideo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Leites N. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Vidart E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
59', 1 - 2, ⚽,
70', 1 - 3, ⚽,
74', 🟥,
83', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 12).

Recent form of Uruguay Montevideo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Artigas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Uruguay Montevideo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Uruguay Montevideo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Uruguay Montevideo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Uruguay Montevideo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
29.08.25	Albion Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:1 ✺
20.08.25	Rampla Juniors - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	1:2 ✺
11.08.25	Central Español - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLLLL
- CA Artigas
Uruguayan Segunda Division
31.08.25	Artigas - Rentistas	1:2 ✺
24.08.25	Albion Montevideo - Artigas	3:2 ✺
20.08.25	Artigas - La Luz	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Artigas	1:3 ✺
09.08.25	Artigas - Cerrito	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
14.06.25	Artigas - Uruguay Montevideo	1:1
12.04.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Artigas	3:1

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