The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Utebo 55.3%
Draw 26.5%
Náxara 18.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.3%
23.5%
15.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.2%
22.8%
14.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utebo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Utebo's form might have worsened.
Náxara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Utebo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Utebo - Náxara Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Suarez D. (Penalty Awarded),
30', Garcia A. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Utebo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Utebo is considered a favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Utebo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
Including home match between the teams, Utebo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
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