Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 20

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Campo Municipal de Urritxe (Amorebieta-Etxano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Amorebieta		Utebo

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.98	3.2
	2.38	2.93	3.27
	2.14	3.08	3.38	Watch
	2.25	2.8	3.2
	2.29	3.12	3.22
	2.33	2.83	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.11)	2.96 ↓ (3.05)	3.25 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
40.7%

Draw
31.1%

Utebo
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

29.7%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

28.8%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Utebo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Amorebieta - Utebo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
76', 0 - 1, Suarez D. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Amorebieta might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Amorebieta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Utebo FC	5	1	3	1	5:5	0	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
18.01.26	UD Logroñés - Amorebieta	4:1 ✺
11.01.26	Amorebieta - Ebro	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Sestao - Amorebieta	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Amorebieta - Mutilvera	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Eibar B - Amorebieta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LLWLW
- Utebo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
17.01.26	Beasain - Utebo	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Utebo - UD Logroñés	3:0 ✺
04.01.26	Eibar B - Utebo	3:2 ✺
20.12.25	Utebo - Alavés B	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Ebro - Utebo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
25.10.25	Utebo - Amorebieta	3:1

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