Match Info

Division 2 - Norra Götaland - Round 13

Date: 18 June 2026, Thursday


	Vänersborgs FK		Stenungsunds

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.50	2.75
	1.95	3.65	3.25
	2.02	3.35	2.81
	2.17	3.71	2.8
	2.10	3.30	2.80
	1.96	3.56	3.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.3)	3.51 ↑ (3.45)	2.94 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vänersborgs FK
43.8%

Draw
25.6%

Stenungsunds
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

26%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

26%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vänersborgs FK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Stenungsunds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vänersborgs FK than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stenungsunds than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Vänersborgs FK - Stenungsunds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
26', 1 - 0, Alkhafaji M. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Ottosson O. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 2, Musa D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 1 - 3, ⚽,
60', 2 - 3, ⚽,
85', 🟥,
90+8', 2 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vänersborgs FK won 3.

Vänersborgs FK is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Stenungsund has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Stenungsund has had a series of home games.

Vänersborgs FK will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Vänersborgs FK won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:30. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Vänersborgs FK won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 1:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Stenungsunds	25	10	6	9	45:34	11	36
9	Vanersborgs FK	25	8	5	12	33:43	-10	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vänersborgs FK
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
14.06.26	Husqvarna - Vänersborgs FK	3:1 ✺
05.06.26	Vänersborgs FK - Skara	1:3 ✺
29.05.26	Vänersborgs FK - Grebbestad	2:3 ✺
22.05.26	Herrestads - Vänersborgs FK	1:1 ✺
14.05.26	Vänersborgs FK - Karlstad II	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLLTW
- Stenungsunds IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
12.06.26	Stenungsunds - Ahlafors	0:4 ✺
04.06.26	Stenungsunds - Vänersborgs IF	5:0 ✺
31.05.26	Husqvarna - Stenungsunds	3:1 ✺
23.05.26	Stenungsunds - Lidkoping	6:0 ✺
17.05.26	Stenungsunds - Motala	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
27.09.24	Vänersborgs FK - Stenungsunds	1:0
25.05.24	Stenungsunds - Vänersborgs FK	1:3
13.10.23	Stenungsunds - Vänersborgs FK	1:1
16.06.23	Vänersborgs FK - Stenungsunds	0:0
13.08.22	Stenungsunds - Vänersborgs FK	1:3
23.04.22	Vänersborgs FK - Stenungsunds	0:1
29.09.21	Vänersborgs FK - Stenungsunds	1:4

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