Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 29

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday

Location: Finnvedsvallen (Varnamo)

Referee: Aganovic A. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	HBO Max, Veikkaus TV
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, TV4 Play


	Värnamo		Mjällby

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.75	1.49	Watch
	5.3	4.55	1.5
	5.13	4.33	1.58	Watch
	5.23	4.48	1.53	Watch
	5	4.3	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.18 ↑ (5.13)	4.48 ↑ (4.33)	1.53 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Värnamo
18%

Draw
20.9%

Mjällby
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

21.8%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

21.5%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Mjällby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Värnamo - Mjällby Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Mjällby (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Users Predictions: Mjällby will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mjällby will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Mjällby (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Keto H. (G) 4. Mohammed R. 6. Andersson H. 27. Coulibaly S. 3. Bjornstrom A. 20. Winsth F. (C) 11. Antonsen K. 22. Thern S. 8. Liimatta O. 14. Antonsson M. 18. Alsalkhadi M.	35. Lundin A. (G) 27. Tidstrand L. 4. Noren A. 24. Pettersson T. (C) 14. Johansson H. 7. Gustafson V. 6. Thorell L. 17. Stroud E. 10. Kjaer J. 18. Bergstrom J. 15. Bang-Kittilsen B.
Substitutes
39. Andersson V. (G) 7. Bozicevic F. 21. Diallo M. C. 16. Kujundzic A. 9. Meriluoto K. 2. Rapp J. 5. Raudonis A. 25. Shamoun N. 10. Zeljkovic A.	39. Arrhenius R. 22. Gustavsson J. 5. Iqbal A. 16. Johansson A. 19. Manneh A. 21. Petersson A. 11. Stavitski T. 3. Tchouante C. 1. Tornqvist N. (G)
Coaches
Sandsto A.	Torstensson A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Stroud E. (Pen),
15', Tidstrand L. 🟨,
18', 0 - 2, Stroud E. ⚽, Thorell L. (A),
28', Coulibaly S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
49', Coulibaly S. 🟨,
50', 0 - 3, Stroud E. (Pen),
58', Thern S. ↓, Kujundzic A. ↑,
58', Winsth F. ↓, Rapp J. ↑,
65', Bergstrom J. ↓, Johansson A. ↑,
65', Tidstrand L. ↓, Tchouante C. ↑,
65', Thorell L. ↓, Arrhenius R. ↑,
68', Alsalkhadi M. ↓, Bozicevic F. ↑,
68', Liimatta O. ↓, Meriluoto K. ↑,
69', 0 - 4, Gustafson V. ⚽, Johansson H. (A),
70', Johansson H. ↓, Stavitski T. ↑,
81', Kjaer J. ↓, Petersson A. ↑,
82', 0 - 5, Johansson A. ⚽, Gustafson V. (A),
83', Antonsen K. ↓, Diallo M. C. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

Värnamo is Relegated to Superettan

Mjällby is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 1.

Recent form of Värnamo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mjällby is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mjällby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mjällby is the team to beat.

There will not play in Mjällby: Svanberg L. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Värnamo: Abdulrazak I. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Mjällby: Miettinen T. (Inactive)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Värnamo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 2.2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Allsvenskan
25.10.25	Djurgården - Värnamo	6:2 ✺
19.10.25	Värnamo - Brommapojkarna	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	AIK - Värnamo	2:3 ✺
28.09.25	Malmö - Värnamo	3:2 ✺
22.09.25	Värnamo - Halmstad	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LTWLL
- Mjällby AIF
Swedish Allsvenskan
26.10.25	Mjällby - Norrköping	2:1 ✺
20.10.25	IFK Göteborg - Mjällby	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Mjällby - Elfsborg	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Brommapojkarna - Mjällby	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Mjällby - Öster	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
01.06.25	Mjällby - Värnamo	2:0
25.09.24	Mjällby - Värnamo	1:1
02.06.24	Värnamo - Mjällby	1:2
01.10.23	Mjällby - Värnamo	2:3
10.04.23	Värnamo - Mjällby	0:1
03.10.22	Värnamo - Mjällby	2:1
14.05.22	Mjällby - Värnamo	1:1

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