Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 6

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Finnvedsvallen (Varnamo)

Referee: Johnson O. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Discovery+
Finland	Max, Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 5, Max, TV4 Play


	Värnamo		Norrköping

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	3	Watch
	2.3	3.5	2.85
	2.4	3.45	2.95	Watch
	2.38	3.47	3.07
	2.35	3.47	2.98	Watch
	2.25	3.3	3
	2.29	3.38	2.98	Watch
	2.39	3.45	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.28)	3.43 ↓ (3.74)	2.97 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Värnamo
40.6%

Draw
27.6%

Norrköping
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

25.3%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

26.6%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Norrköping has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norrköping than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Värnamo - Norrköping Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Värnamo will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Norrköping will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Värnamo: 4% – 71%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - draw (1.60) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Keto H. (G) 2. Rapp J. 6. Andersson H. 24. Grozdanic E. 3. Bjornstrom A. 5. Larsson V. 8. Le Roux L. (C) 11. Wenderson 7. Johansson C. 18. Alsalkhadi M. 28. Junior Adjei F.	40. Andersson D. (G) 37. Neffati M. 2. Peprah K. 19. Watson M. 3. Baggesen M. 7. Fransson A. 9. Traustason A. 15. Jorgensen S. 22. Prica T. 5. Nyman C. (C) 8. Sigurgeirsson I.
Substitutes
39. Andersson V. (G) 32. Bilalovic K. 17. Bozicevic F. 9. Kalu J. 16. Lohikangas A. 4. Mohammed R. 22. Thern S. 20. Winsth F. 10. Zeljkovic A.	28. Andersson A. 20. Bronner A. 21. Ceesay J. 24. Eriksson A. 14. Kalley Y. 10. Karlsson D.M. 30. Krantz T. (G) 11. Lushaku I. 4. Sogaard A.
Coaches
Sibila F.	Falk M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', Bjornstrom A. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Jorgensen S. ⚽, Prica T. (A),
32', Sigurgeirsson I. 🟨,
33', 0 - 2, Jorgensen S. ⚽, Sigurgeirsson I. (A),
39', Le Roux L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Grozdanic E. ↓, Bilalovic K. ↑,
46', Johansson C. ↓, Kalu J. ↑,
46', Bjornstrom A. ↓, Lohikangas A. ↑,
47', 1 - 2, Bilalovic K. ⚽, Andersson H. (A),
51', 1 - 3, Rapp J. (Own goal),
60', Andersson H. 🟨,
63', Junior Adjei F. ↓, Thern S. ↑,
68', Lohikangas A. ↓, Zeljkovic A. ↑,
75', Fransson A. ↓, Lushaku I. ↑,
75', Prica T. ↓, Karlsson D.M. ↑,
88', Traustason A. ↓, Andersson A. ↑,
90+1', Jorgensen S. ↓, Sogaard A. ↑,
90+3', Watson M. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Värnamo won 2.

Värnamo has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Norrköping is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Norrköping could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Norrköping: Bolma S. (Inactive) Jansson K. (Inactive) Mitov D. (Inactive)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Värnamo won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:12 (average 1.4:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Värnamo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Allsvenskan
24.04.25	Värnamo - AIK	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	Brommapojkarna - Värnamo	3:2 ✺
13.04.25	Värnamo - IFK Göteborg	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Degerfors - Värnamo	1:0 ✺
31.03.25	Värnamo - Sirius	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- IFK Norrköping
Swedish Allsvenskan
24.04.25	Norrköping - IFK Göteborg	2:3 ✺
19.04.25	Norrköping - Halmstad	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	Elfsborg - Norrköping	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	AIK - Norrköping	4:3 ✺
30.03.25	Norrköping - Öster	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
27.10.24	Värnamo - Norrköping	1:2
27.05.24	Norrköping - Värnamo	0:4
Club Friendly
16.03.24	Norrköping - Värnamo	1:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
08.10.23	Värnamo - Norrköping	2:1
16.04.23	Norrköping - Värnamo	2:1
24.10.22	Värnamo - Norrköping	1:1
02.05.22	Norrköping - Värnamo	2:0

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