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Current Win Probability
Vålerenga 49.1%
Draw 24.1%
Fredrikstad 26.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.9%
22.9%
22.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.3%
24.3%
20.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vålerenga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vålerenga's form might have worsened.
Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vålerenga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fredrikstad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
14.3%
14.3%
Vålerenga - Fredrikstad Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Vålerenga will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Fredrikstad will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hedvall O. (G) 3. Sjatil H. 4. Olsen A. 55. Jarl S. 2. Finnsson K. 11. Zahid G. (C) 15. Holm O. T. 10. Lange C. 77. Haren L. 17. Grundetjern M. 7. Nielsen H.
77. Borsheim M. (G) 38. Amundsen I. 4. Holme F. 28. Owusu S. 16. Eid D. (C) 6. Leach S. 14. Nilsson M. 13. Sorlokk S. 7. Faraas B. 23. Skogvold H. 18. Fiabema B.
Substitutes
26. Gjengaar D. 13. Lonning S. A. A. (G) 37. Nasberg I. 9. Rajkovic G. 19. Rashani E. 90. Saeter O. 24. Strand P. 5. Tshiembe K. 28. Westergaard M.
12. Fredriksen U. 19. Ghebreyohannes F. 21. Jezierski J. 9. Laghzaoui S. 10. Nunez J. 5. Rafn S. 37. Skari Hansen O. 30. Torkildsen J. (G) 11. West L.
Coaches
Moesgaard J.
Rojkjaer C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Holm O. T. ↓, Westergaard M. ↑,
52', 0 - 1, Owusu S. ⚽, Leach S. (A),
55', Nielsen H. ↓, Strand P. ↑,
55', Finnsson K. ↓, Gjengaar D. ↑,
61', Fiabema B. ↓, West L. ↑,
69', Owusu S. ↓, Fredriksen U. ↑,
74', Zahid G. ↓, Rajkovic G. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Jarl S. ⚽, Haren L. (A),
82', Amundsen I. 🟥,
83', Faraas B. ↓, Ghebreyohannes F. ↑,
85', Haren L. ↓, Rashani E. ↑,
88', Ghebreyohannes F. 🟨,
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 12th and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 1.
In recent outings, Vålerenga has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Fredrikstad is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Fredrikstad could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Vålerenga has faced a series of away games on the road.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Vålerenga holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Vålerenga: Ambina F.
(Muscle Injury).
Confirmed absences for Fredrikstad: Kvile S.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Vålerenga: Sjoeng M.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Fredrikstad: Nysveen J.
(Injury).
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Vålerenga has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:17 (averaging 1.3:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vålerenga against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 12:13 goals (averaging 1.3:1.4 per game).
Norway
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Hedvall O. (G) 
Sjatil H. 
Finnsson K. 
Owusu S. 
Leach S. 
Rashani E. 
Jezierski J. 
