Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 1

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Intility Arena (Oslo)

Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Vålerenga		Sandefjord

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.9	3.5	Watch
	1.95	3.9	3.45
	2.02	4.01	3.5
	1.95	4.04	3.41	Watch
	1.91	3.75	3.3
	1.95	3.95	3.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.05)	3.93 ↑ (3.8)	3.46 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vålerenga
48.6%

Draw
24.1%

Sandefjord
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

24.5%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

23.2%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vålerenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Sandefjord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandefjord than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Vålerenga - Sandefjord Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Vålerenga will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Sandefjord will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vålerenga: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Vålerenga (votes: 2 - 50%). Sandefjord (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Vålerenga (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Vålerenga (votes: 3 - 60%). Sandefjord (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hedvall O. (G) 3. Sjatil H. 4. Olsen A. 37. Nasberg I. 2. Finnsson K. 26. Thorvaldsen F. 28. Westergaard M. 10. Lange C. 11. Sorensen E. 8. Bjordal H. (C) 17. Grundetjern M.	30. Hadaya E. (G) 4. Pedersen F. 2. Smajlovic Z. 44. Lambrix X. 3. Egeli V. 7. Patoulidis E. 6. Mork S. (C) 14. Pettersen E. 37. Vester J. 11. Moller N. 27. Dunsby J.
Substitutes
18. Forcha E. 15. Hagen E. 6. Hedenstad V. 55. Jarl S. 9. Rajkovic G. 90. Saeter O. 21. Sjoeng M. (G) 22. Sjovold S. 24. Strand P.	17. Apetorgbor F. 8. Dzabic R. 1. Gronneberg A. (G) 29. Halvorsen K. 9. Hanstad J. 47. Kristiansen S. 16. Krogelien H. 26. Loftesnes-Bjune F. 24. Mathisen S.
Coaches
Bakke G.	Tegstrom A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Lange C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Moller N. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Lambrix X. 🟨,
63', Thorvaldsen F. ↓, Strand P. ↑,
63', Sjatil H. ↓, Hedenstad V. ↑,
70', Grundetjern M. ↓, Saeter O. ↑,
73', Dunsby J. ↓, Dzabic R. ↑,
73', Vester J. ↓, Hanstad J. ↑,
84', Moller N. ↓, Mathisen S. ↑,
84', Pettersen E. ↓, Loftesnes-Bjune F. ↑,
86', Lange C. ↓, Hagen E. ↑,
86', Bjordal H. ↓, Rajkovic G. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 3.

Vålerenga is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sandefjord is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vålerenga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sandefjord has had a series of home games.

Vålerenga could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Vålerenga: Bully O. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ofkir M. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 41:21. (average 2.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Vålerenga won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:12. (average 2.5:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Sandefjord	22	6	6	10	22:28	-6	24
12	Valerenga	21	6	5	10	34:43	-9	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vålerenga Fotball
Club Friendly
07.03.26	Vålerenga - Strømsgodset	4:3 ✺
27.02.26	Rosenborg - Vålerenga	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Vålerenga - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Djurgården - Vålerenga	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Vålerenga - Sandefjord	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWLW
- Sandefjord Fotball
Club Friendly
08.03.26	Sandefjord - Start	3:2 ✺
02.03.26	Sandefjord - Ranheim	1:0 ✺
26.02.26	Sandefjord - Stabæk	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Sandefjord - Aalborg BK	4:0 ✺
07.02.26	Sandefjord - Skeid	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
06.02.26	Vålerenga - Sandefjord	5:2
Norwegian Eliteserien
03.08.25	Vålerenga - Sandefjord	2:1
11.05.25	Sandefjord - Vålerenga	2:1
01.10.23	Sandefjord - Vålerenga	1:2
29.07.23	Vålerenga - Sandefjord	2:3
18.09.22	Vålerenga - Sandefjord	4:0
08.05.22	Sandefjord - Vålerenga	1:3

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