The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vélez Sársfield 2 52%
Draw 26.7%
Newells Old Boys 2 21.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.9%
25.4%
20.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.8%
24.1%
19.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez Sársfield 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Newells Old Boys 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield 2 than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newells Old Boys 2 than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Vélez Sársfield 2 - Newells Old Boys 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Extra Time (1 - 0)
105', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Vélez 2 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Newells Old Boys 2 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Vélez 2 is the team to beat.
We predict that Vélez 2 will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vélez 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Vélez 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
Argentina
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