Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 22

Date: 24 June 2023, Saturday

Location: Transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki (Nagasaki)


	V-Varen Nagasaki		Zweigen Kanazawa

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	4	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.6
	1.95	3.55	3.45
	1.96	3.7	3.91
	1.83	3.25	3.9
	1.92	3.68	3.78	Watch
	1.92	3.4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.84)	3.48 ↓ (3.62)	3.77 ↓ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

V-Varen Nagasaki
48.6%

Draw
26.7%

Zweigen Kanazawa
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

25.6%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

25%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Zweigen Kanazawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zweigen Kanazawa than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.7%	0%	5.3%

V Varen Nagasaki - Zweigen Kanazawa Predictions

Users Predictions: V-Varen Nagasaki will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Hatano G. (G) 40. Shirai H. 25. Kushibiki K. 18. Imazu Y. 23. Yoneda S. 8. Masuyama A. 10. Cesar C. 6. Kuwasaki Y. 33. Kasayanagi T. 9. Juanma Delgado 27. Tokura K.	1. Shirai Y. (G) 25. Kojima M. 39. Shoji H. 4. Inoue R. 2. Nagamine Y. 7. Kato J. 17. Kajiura Y. 8. Fujimura K. 14. Ishihara T. 11. Sugiura K. 13. Oishi R.
Substitutes
17. Akino H. 7. Cristiano 13. Kato M. 3. Okano J. 5. Okui R. 19. Sawada T. 1. Tomizawa M. (G)	3. Kuroki K. 36. Miura M. (G) 16. Mori S. 18. Onohara K. 30. Otani H. 10. Shimada S. 19. Toyoda Y.
Coaches
Carille F.	Yanagishita M.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches V-Varen Nagasaki won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

V-Varen Nagasaki will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 15 head-to-head matches V-Varen Nagasaki won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21-18.

Including matches at home between the teams V-Varen Nagasaki won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J2 League
17.06.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Omiya Ardija	2:0 ✺
11.06.23	Machida Zelvia - V-Varen Nagasaki	4:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
07.06.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Ventforet Kofu	0:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
03.06.23	Renofa Yamaguchi - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:1 ✺
27.05.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Júbilo Iwata	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLTW
- Zweigen Kanazawa
Japan J2 League
17.06.23	Zweigen Kanazawa - Mito HollyHock	2:1 ✺
11.06.23	Blaublitz Akita - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
07.06.23	Zweigen Kanazawa - Machida Zelvia	2:3 ✺
Japan J2 League
03.06.23	Zweigen Kanazawa - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:1 ✺
28.05.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Zweigen Kanazawa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
13.05.23	Zweigen Kanazawa - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:0
06.09.22	Zweigen Kanazawa - V-Varen Nagasaki	3:3
26.03.22	V-Varen Nagasaki - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:1
25.08.21	Zweigen Kanazawa - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:2
27.02.21	V-Varen Nagasaki - Zweigen Kanazawa	2:1
20.12.20	V-Varen Nagasaki - Zweigen Kanazawa	3:1
05.09.20	Zweigen Kanazawa - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:1

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