Match Info

JAPAN: EMPERORS CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 7 June 2023, Wednesday

Location: Ishikawa Athletics Stadium (Kanazawa)


	Zweigen Kanazawa		Machida Zelvia

	1	X	2
	2.63	3	2.6
	2.7	2.95	2.37
	3.2	2.95	2.2
	2.72	3.11	2.81
	2.88	2.9	2.4
	2.81	3.14	2.5
	3	3.15	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (3.68)	3.03 ↓ (3.1)	2.46 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zweigen Kanazawa
32.3%

Draw
30.3%

Machida Zelvia
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

29.3%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

28.1%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zweigen Kanazawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zweigen Kanazawa's performance.

Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Machida Zelvia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zweigen Kanazawa than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zweigen Kanazawa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Machida Zelvia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	44.4%	44.4%

Zweigen Kanazawa - Machida Zelvia Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Kanazawa will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shirai Y. (C) 8. Fujimura K. 9. Hayashi M. 4. Inoue R. 7. Kato J. 16. Mori S. 2. Nagamine Y. 15. Okuda K. 18. Onohara K. 35. Son T. 19. Toyoda Y.	42. Fukui K. (G) 5. Fukatsu K. 26. Gutierrez C. 19. Inaba S. 32. Kurokawa A. 33. Matsui R. 30. Nakashima Y. 6. Ota K. (C) 10. Takahashi D. 24. Uchida M. 41. Yasui T.
Substitutes
14. Ishihara T. 17. Kajiura Y. 3. Kuroki K. 36. Miura M. (G) 30. Otani H. 10. Shimada S. 11. Sugiura K.	7. Araki S. 34. Fujiwara Y. 40. Fuseya S. 9. Numata T. 28. Okuyama Y. 1. Stojisic N. (G) 8. Takae L.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kanazawa won 1.

Kanazawa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Machida Zelvia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Machida Zelvia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Kanazawa won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 23-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Kanazawa won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zweigen Kanazawa
Japan J2 League
03.06.23	Zweigen Kanazawa - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:1 ✺
28.05.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Zweigen Kanazawa	3:0 ✺
21.05.23	Zweigen Kanazawa - Ventforet Kofu	0:1 ✺
17.05.23	Tokushima Vortis - Zweigen Kanazawa	2:0 ✺
13.05.23	Zweigen Kanazawa - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLLLW
- Machida Zelvia
Japan J2 League
03.06.23	JEF United Chiba - Machida Zelvia	0:2 ✺
28.05.23	Tokushima Vortis - Machida Zelvia	2:1 ✺
21.05.23	Machida Zelvia - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:1 ✺
17.05.23	Machida Zelvia - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:0 ✺
13.05.23	Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
05.03.23	Zweigen Kanazawa - Machida Zelvia	1:2
19.06.22	Machida Zelvia - Zweigen Kanazawa	3:2
06.03.22	Zweigen Kanazawa - Machida Zelvia	1:2
04.09.21	Zweigen Kanazawa - Machida Zelvia	0:4
04.04.21	Machida Zelvia - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:1
11.10.20	Machida Zelvia - Zweigen Kanazawa	2:2
09.09.20	Zweigen Kanazawa - Machida Zelvia	1:1

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