The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
V-Varen Nagasaki 43.4%
Draw 25.9%
Omiya Ardija 30.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.5%
26.6%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.6%
27.3%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
V-Varen Nagasaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Omiya Ardija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
20%
40%
V Varen Nagasaki - Omiya Ardija Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Omiya will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for V-Varen Nagasaki: 9.6% โ 70.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Omiya (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): V-Varen Nagasaki will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki (votes: 3 - 60%). Omiya (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Goto M. (G) 29. Arai I. 48. Teruyama H. 44. Egawa Y. 7. Marcos Guilherme 6. Abe T. 5. Yamaguchi H. 8. Masuyama A. 16. Emerson Deocleciano 18. Yamasaki R. 10. Matheus Jesus
1. Kasahara T. (G) 55. Gabriel 4. Ichihara R. 20. Shimoguchi W. 37. Sekiguchi K. 6. Ishikawa T. 7. Kojima M. 14. Izumi T. 29. Caprini 23. Sugimoto K. 90. Sunday O.
Substitutes
31. Harada G. (G) 9. Juanma Delgado 33. Kasayanagi T. 25. Kushibiki K. 34. Matsumoto T. 38. Matsuzawa K. 14. Nagura T. 19. Sawada T. 23. Yoneda S.
42. Fujii K. 9. Gonzalez F. 21. Kato Y. (G) 22. Motegi R. 34. Murakami Y. 15. Nakayama K. 10. Toyokawa Y. 18. Tsukui T. 41. Yachida T.
Coaches
Shimotaira T.
Nagasawa T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Sunday O. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Abe T. ⚽,
40', Gabriel ↓, Murakami Y. ↑,
45+2', 1 - 2, Caprini ⚽, Sugimoto K. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 2 - 2, Shimoguchi W. (Own goal),
55', 2 - 3, Sunday O. ⚽, Ichihara R. (A),
62', Sunday O. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
65', Caprini ↓, Toyokawa Y. ↑,
65', Yamasaki R. ↓, Juanma Delgado ↑,
65', Masuyama A. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,
72', Kojima M. 🟨,
74', Abe T. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
74', Teruyama H. ↓, Yoneda S. ↑,
78', Sekiguchi K. ↓, Motegi R. ↑,
80', Ishikawa T. ↓, Yachida T. ↑,
80', Sugimoto K. ↓, Tsukui T. ↑,
80', Motegi R. 🟨,
80', Emerson Deocleciano ↓, Kasayanagi T. ↑,
81', 3 - 3, Juanma Delgado ⚽,
90+2', Egawa Y. 🟨,
90+5', Marcos Guilherme ↓, Nagura T. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 2.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
V-Varen Nagasaki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, V-Varen Nagasaki won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.7:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
V-Varen Nagasaki - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.5%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Japan
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Goto M. (G) 
Marcos Guilherme 
Sunday O. 
Juanma Delgado 
Gonzalez F. 
