Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 20

Date: 11 June 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Machida GION Stadium (Machida) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Matsumoto D. (Jpn)


	Machida Zelvia		V-Varen Nagasaki

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	4.33	Watch
	1.83	3.1	4
	1.95	3.2	4
	1.93	3.36	4.6
	1.85	3	4.2
	1.93	3.32	4.2	Watch
	1.88	3.25	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.22)	3.23 ↑ (3.21)	4.22 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Machida Zelvia
49.1%

Draw
28.8%

V-Varen Nagasaki
22.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.2%

29.1%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

28%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Machida Zelvia's performance.

V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and V-Varen Nagasaki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Machida Zelvia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that V-Varen Nagasaki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Machida Zelvia - V Varen Nagasaki Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 4 - 80%). V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Popp W. (G) 2. Okuyama M. 14. Jang M. 34. Fujiwara Y. 22. Onaga H. 41. Yasui T. 8. Takae L. 18. Shimoda H. 7. Araki S. 15. Duke M. 11. Erik	21. Hatano G. (G) 28. Takahashi S. 4. Valdo 25. Kushibiki K. 23. Yoneda S. 6. Kuwasaki Y. 10. Cesar C. 8. Masuyama A. 13. Kato M. 29. Clayson 9. Juanma Delgado
Substitutes
42. Fukui K. (G) 26. Gutierrez C. 19. Inaba S. 33. Matsui R. 30. Nakashima Y. 9. Numata T. 10. Takahashi D.	35. Abe T. 17. Akino H. 31. Harada G. (G) 18. Imazu Y. 33. Kasayanagi T. 5. Okui R. 27. Tokura K.
Coaches
Kuroda G.	Carille F.

Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Machida Zelvia won 1.

Machida Zelvia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches V-Varen Nagasaki is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Machida Zelvia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Machida Zelvia is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Machida Zelvia won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Machida Zelvia won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Machida Zelvia
Japan Emperors Cup
07.06.23	Zweigen Kanazawa - Machida Zelvia	2:3 ✺
Japan J2 League
03.06.23	JEF United Chiba - Machida Zelvia	0:2 ✺
28.05.23	Tokushima Vortis - Machida Zelvia	2:1 ✺
21.05.23	Machida Zelvia - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:1 ✺
17.05.23	Machida Zelvia - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLWW
- V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan Emperors Cup
07.06.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Ventforet Kofu	0:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
03.06.23	Renofa Yamaguchi - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:1 ✺
27.05.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Júbilo Iwata	2:1 ✺
21.05.23	Oita Trinita - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:1 ✺
17.05.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Fagiano Okayama	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
17.07.22	Machida Zelvia - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:2
09.04.22	V-Varen Nagasaki - Machida Zelvia	1:0
18.09.21	Machida Zelvia - V-Varen Nagasaki	3:3
17.04.21	V-Varen Nagasaki - Machida Zelvia	0:3
04.11.20	V-Varen Nagasaki - Machida Zelvia	3:1
23.09.20	Machida Zelvia - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:1
05.10.19	V-Varen Nagasaki - Machida Zelvia	3:2

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