Match Info

FINLAND: Ykkonen - Relegation Group

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Lemonsoft Stadion (Vaasa)


	VIFK		KuPS Akatemia

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.75	3
	1.83	3.9	3.1
	1.83	4.2	3.3
	1.86	4.15	3.47
	1.79	4.27	3.38	Watch
	1.8	4	3.25
	1.82	4.15	3.43
	1.83	4.2	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.79)	4.2 ↑ (4.02)	3.28 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VIFK
50.4%

Draw
21.7%

KuPS Akatemia
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

22.8%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

22.2%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VIFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

KuPS Akatemia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VIFK than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS Akatemia than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

VIFK - KuPS Akatemia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vironen A. (G) 3. Baseme A. 2. Birhane M. (C) 14. Doudi A. M. 30. Etoka L. 16. Forsbacka R. 9. Hammar R. 18. Hiekkanen E. 25. Hiekkanen F. 8. Jarv A. 15. Kautonen T.	1. Osterlund T. (G) 10. Al Wehliye K. 18. Balde O. 6. Hanhineva J. 36. Hukkanen T. 17. Kirjavainen E. 15. Kivijarvi J. 23. Mattila N. 5. Mielonen N. 22. Partanen T. (C) 7. Puolitaival E.
Substitutes
6. F. Gatambyie 10. Morrissey S. 5. Nuutinen A. 12. Nygard W. (G) 27. Osterblad F. 17. Puska E. 24. Westermark E.	16. Karjalainen A. 13. Kauppinen E. (G) 3. Moilanen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Al Wehliye K. ⚽,
13', Kivijarvi J. 🟨,
23', Balde O. 🟨,
29', Doudi A. M. 🟨,
37', Partanen T. 🟨,
37', Etoka L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Doudi A. M. ↓, F. Gatambyie ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Baseme A. ⚽,
59', Mielonen N. ↓, Karjalainen A. ↑,
60', Hiekkanen F. ↓, Morrissey S. ↑,
60', Jarv A. ↓, Osterblad F. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Baseme A. ⚽,
66', Hukkanen T. 🟨,
84', Kirjavainen E. ↓, Moilanen J. ↑,
90+2', Osterblad F. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently VIFK have a series of guest games.

VIFK will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches VIFK won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:8 (average 0.8:2).

Including matches at home between the teams VIFK won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VIFK
Finnish Ykkonen
05.10.24	JJK Jyväskylä - VIFK	0:4 ✺
28.09.24	Keski-Uusimaa - VIFK	3:4 ✺
14.09.24	Espoon Palloseura - VIFK	3:2 ✺
31.08.24	RoPS - VIFK	3:2 ✺
24.08.24	VIFK - OLS	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWLLL
- KuPS Akatemia
Finnish Ykkonen
05.10.24	KuPS Akatemia - Keski-Uusimaa	2:3 ✺
28.09.24	KuPS Akatemia - Vaajakoski	3:2 ✺
15.09.24	JJK Jyväskylä - KuPS Akatemia	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	KuPS Akatemia - Atlantis Helsinki	2:5 ✺
20.08.24	JJK Jyväskylä - KuPS Akatemia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
20.06.24	KuPS Akatemia - VIFK	2:1
13.04.24	VIFK - KuPS Akatemia	0:4
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
02.09.23	VIFK - KuPS Akatemia	2:0
10.06.23	KuPS Akatemia - VIFK	2:0

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