Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 5

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Covebo Stadion - De Koel (Venlo)

Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1


	VVV-Venlo		Helmond Sport

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	3.1	Watch
	2.2	3.5	2.75
	2.08	3.7	3.05
	2.13	3.85	3.22
	2.45	3.30	2.79	Watch
	2.15	3.66	3.1	Watch
	2.32	3.4	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.32)	3.56 ↑ (3.4)	2.94 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VVV-Venlo
42.3%

Draw
26.1%

Helmond Sport
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

26.4%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

26.1%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VVV-Venlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Helmond Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

VVV Venlo - Helmond Sport Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Schoonderwaldt Y. (G) 31. Davis M. 33. Blancquart G. (C) 15. Joosten T. 16. Heise P. 10. Triep J. 20. Eijgenraam J. 24. Odriss M. 26. Matoug N. 18. van Zijl B. 11. Ait Mouhou N.	1. Bergsen M. (G) 24. Et Taibi A. 3. Van Den Eynden F. 4. Koglin B. 27. Absalem A. 26. Makanza N. 8. Llonch P. 22. Dizdarevic A. 36. Leipold A. 16. Lukowicz M. 11. Daneels L.
Substitutes
5. de Blok L. 1. Doornbusch T. (G) 25. Foor N. 6. Kluskens J. 27. Kromah L. 2. Mokono S. 22. Taylan Z. (G) . van Oorschot D. 3. Verheij L. 7. Wehmeyer L.	23. Aben K. (G) 9. Bajrami L. 34. Essakkati T. 19. Ingason H. 6. Ludwig M. 2. Ogenia J. 5. Poll T. 17. Semic L. 28. Vos D. 21. Wentges H. (G)
Coaches
Lammers J.	Seegers J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Llonch P. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Triep J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Dizdarevic A. ↓, Ogenia J. ↑,
46', Van Den Eynden F. ↓, Vos D. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Ait Mouhou N. ⚽, van Zijl B. (A),
62', Davis M. ↓, Mokono S. ↑,
62', Joosten T. ↓, Verheij L. ↑,
66', Leipold A. ↓, Essakkati T. ↑,
66', Lukowicz M. ↓, Bajrami L. ↑,
71', Odriss M. ↓, Foor N. ↑,
71', van Zijl B. ↓, van Oorschot D. ↑,
77', Eijgenraam J. ↓, Kluskens J. ↑,
82', Absalem A. ↓, Poll T. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Bajrami L. ⚽, Daneels L. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Helmond Sport may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Venlo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Venlo: Timber D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Venlo: Saddiki D. (Injury) Triep J. (Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 40:29. (average 2.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Venlo won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:16. (average 2.5:1.6).

Last Results with these Odds

VVV-Venlo - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 38.68%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VVV-Venlo
Dutch Eerste Divisie
31.08.25	Cambuur - VVV-Venlo	3:1 ✺
24.08.25	VVV-Venlo - Roda	3:1 ✺
15.08.25	VVV-Venlo - Jong PSV	0:2 ✺
08.08.25	De Graafschap - VVV-Venlo	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.25	VVV-Venlo - Leuven B	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLL
- Helmond Sport
Dutch Eerste Divisie
29.08.25	ADO Den Haag - Helmond Sport	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Helmond Sport - Emmen	2:0 ✺
15.08.25	Waalwijk - Helmond Sport	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Helmond Sport - Roda	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Helmond Sport - AE Kifisia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
13.04.25	VVV-Venlo - Helmond Sport	4:1
30.08.24	Helmond Sport - VVV-Venlo	3:0
01.03.24	Helmond Sport - VVV-Venlo	1:1
01.10.23	VVV-Venlo - Helmond Sport	0:4
05.05.23	Helmond Sport - VVV-Venlo	1:1
06.01.23	VVV-Venlo - Helmond Sport	1:1
14.03.22	Helmond Sport - VVV-Venlo	0:3

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