Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 9

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Seacon - De Koel (Venlo)

Referee: Wiersma W. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	VVV-Venlo		Roda

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.80	3.00	Watch
	2.15	3.50	2.90
	2.10	3.60	2.85	Watch
	2.25	3.72	3.07
	2.12	3.88	3	Watch
	2.19	3.60	3.00
	2.14	3.77	2.98	Watch
	2.13	3.65	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.38)	3.69 ↓ (3.79)	2.95 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VVV-Venlo
43.3%

Draw
25.2%

Roda
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

24.7%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

25.2%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VVV-Venlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

VVV Venlo - Roda Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Venlo will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Roda will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.48) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Schoonderwaldt Y. (C) 4. Clancy E. 33. Blancquart G. 6. Verstraeten A. 14. Vullers R. 24. Odriss M. 38. Schenkhuizen T. 16. Heise P. 7. Zuliani E. 11. Ait Mouhou N. 17. Schmidt L. G.	1. Treichel J. (G) 3. Tol M. 33. Van den Buijs D. 15. Beerten L. 14. van den Berg X. 11. Dorenbosch D. 4. Nisbet J. 5. Jansen K. 7. Seedorf C. 25. Marsman B. 9. van den Hurk A. (C)
Substitutes
31. Davis M. 1. Doornbusch T. (G) 35. el Anbri Y. 21. Gorlich L. 43. Hendrix D. 19. Janssen T. 15. Joosten T. 8. M'hand I. 34. Rais A. 22. Taylan Z. (G) 9. Tsigkas M.	19. Crabu N. 24. Deom J. 22. Khoums R. 32. Maoujoudi N. 8. Mensah J. 6. Paulissen M. 17. Peixoto G. 10. Schenten F. 26. Sleegers J. 21. Stojcevic M. (G) 28. van Damme J. (G) 2. Verheij L.
Coaches
Dijkhuizen M.	Penders R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Heise P. 🟨,
43', Dorenbosch D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Schmidt L. G. ⚽, Vullers R. (A),
56', Tol M. 🟨,
60', Seedorf C. ↓, Sleegers J. ↑,
61', Jansen K. ↓, Khoums R. ↑,
61', Dorenbosch D. ↓, Paulissen M. ↑,
61', Schenkhuizen T. ↓, M'hand I. ↑,
69', van den Berg X. ↓, Schenten F. ↑,
71', Zuliani E. 🟨,
72', Schmidt L. G. ↓, Tsigkas M. ↑,
72', Zuliani E. ↓, Rais A. ↑,
79', Van den Buijs D. ↓, Peixoto G. ↑,
82', Heise P. ↓, Davis M. ↑,
82', Verstraeten A. ↓, el Anbri Y. ↑,
83', Nisbet J. 🟨,
87', el Anbri Y. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 0, Rais A. ⚽, M'hand I. (A),
90+4', Paulissen M. 🟨,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 5th in the Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 2.

In recent outings, Venlo has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Roda is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Venlo has recorded 3 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:31 (averaging 1.3:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Venlo against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with 11:14 goals (averaging 1.4:1.8 per game).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Venlo: 6.31% Roda: 4.82%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Venlo	9	6	0	3	23:14	9	18
6	Roda	9	4	3	2	9:7	2	15

Last Results with these Odds

Roda - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 36.08%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VVV-Venlo
Dutch Eerste Divisie
26.09.26	Volendam - VVV-Venlo	3:2 ✺
18.09.26	Jong Utrecht - VVV-Venlo	1:3 ✺
11.09.26	VVV-Venlo - FC Oss	3:1 ✺
04.09.26	Helmond Sport - VVV-Venlo	4:2 ✺
30.08.26	VVV-Venlo - Emmen	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWLW
- Roda JC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
26.09.26	Roda - Waalwijk	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Jong Ajax - Roda	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Roda - Vitesse	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	MVV Maastricht - Roda	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Roda - NAC Breda	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
26.01.26	Roda - VVV-Venlo	2:2
24.08.25	VVV-Venlo - Roda	3:1
29.03.25	Roda - VVV-Venlo	1:4
25.08.24	VVV-Venlo - Roda	1:1
07.04.24	Roda - VVV-Venlo	2:1
14.10.23	VVV-Venlo - Roda	1:1
19.03.23	VVV-Venlo - Roda	1:1

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