Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 8

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: MAC³PARK Stadion (Zwolle) 🌤️ ...

Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Netherlands	14:30	ESPN 2, ESPN


	Zwolle		Cambuur

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.75	3.40	Watch
	2.05	3.75	3.25
	2.00	3.65	3.35
	2.07	3.85	3.53
	2.05	3.87	3.27	Watch
	2.04	3.75	3.40
	1.98	3.82	3.64	Watch
	2.03	3.70	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.88)	3.77 ↓ (3.96)	3.39 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zwolle
46.8%

Draw
25.2%

Cambuur
28%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.3%

23.9%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

23.3%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zwolle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Cambuur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	20%	30%

Zwolle - Cambuur Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Zwolle will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Cambuur will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zwolle: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schendelaar J. (G) 3. Aertssen O. 28. Graves S. 24. Viergever N. 2. Floranus S. 30. Thomas R. (C) 8. Sommer T. 11. Mbayo D. 25. Oosting T. 22. Cissoko I. 10. Kostons K.	1. Jansen T. (G) 2. Bouah D. 4. Baouf I. (C) 14. van Duijl B. 28. Costarelli M. 17. Apkakou E. 8. Souren N. 15. Kvam F. 10. El Arguioui R. 11. Hamache I. 33. Maertens M.
Substitutes
6. Burger J. 16. de Graaff T. (G) 34. Fichtinger N. 26. Pereira da Gama J. 20. Reiziger G. 9. Sorensen E. 33. van der Haar D. 37. van der Wal G. 17. van Hooijdonk S. 18. Velanas O. 4. Velthuis T. 41. Verduin D. (G)	6. Amofa J. 3. Berkhout J. 13. Binder N. 7. Bouhoudane S. 30. Ceka J. 29. Henstra I. 23. Jetten L. 24. Kalisvaart M. (G) 27. Kooistra W. 16. Mulders R. 22. Plogmann L. (G) 9. Vink S.
Coaches
Van Der Vegt H.	Plat J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Bouah D. 🟨,
39', Floranus S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Apkakou E. ↓, Binder N. ↑,
47', Kvam F. ↓, Ceka J. ↑,
52', Cissoko I. 🟨,
56', Ceka J. 🟨,
60', Cissoko I. ↓, Sorensen E. ↑,
60', Kostons K. ↓, van Hooijdonk S. ↑,
67', Maertens M. ↓, Bouhoudane S. ↑,
73', Costarelli M. 🟨,
74', Bouah D. ↓, Amofa J. ↑,
78', Oosting T. ↓, van der Wal G. ↑,
78', Mbayo D. ↓, Reiziger G. ↑,
79', Amofa J. ↓, Mulders R. ↑,
83', 0 - 1, Binder N. ⚽,
86', Reiziger G. 🟨,
87', Floranus S. ↓, van der Haar D. ↑,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 16th in the Eredivisie (Relegation) and 14th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 3.

Zwolle is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Cambuur has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Zwolle is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Zwolle has recorded 7 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:20 (averaging 2.2:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Zwolle against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 20:7 goals (averaging 2.9:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Cambuur	10	3	3	4	19:22	-3	12
15	Zwolle	10	2	2	6	11:23	-12	8

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

Zwolle: 0.09% Cambuur: 0.08%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PEC Zwolle
Dutch Eredivisie
18.09.26	Groningen - Zwolle	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Zwolle - Feyenoord	0:7 ✺
04.09.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Zwolle	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Heerenveen - Zwolle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LLTLW
- Leeuwarden Cambuur
Dutch Eredivisie
19.09.26	ADO Den Haag - Cambuur	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Cambuur - NEC Nijmegen	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Telstar - Cambuur	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Cambuur - Twente	1:4 ✺
23.08.26	Cambuur - Feyenoord	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
22.07.22	Zwolle - Cambuur	3:1
Dutch Eredivisie
12.02.22	Cambuur - Zwolle	3:4
06.11.21	Zwolle - Cambuur	1:2
Club Friendly
24.07.21	Zwolle - Cambuur	2:1
01.08.20	Cambuur - Zwolle	2:0
05.08.17	Zwolle - Cambuur	4:0
Dutch Eredivisie
27.02.16	Cambuur - Zwolle	1:0

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