The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
VVV-Venlo 50.1%
Draw 22.6%
Jong AZ Alkmaar 27.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.1%
23.6%
33.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.8%
22.7%
31.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
VVV-Venlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in VVV-Venlo's performance.
Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jong AZ Alkmaar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with VVV-Venlo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
VVV Venlo - Jong AZ Alkmaar Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3.75 - over (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - VVV (1.81) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.
Users Predictions:
VVV-Venlo will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Schoonderwaldt Y. (C) 14. Vullers R. 4. Clancy E. 33. Blancquart G. 16. Heise P. 8. M'hand I. 6. Verstraeten A. 24. Odriss M. 19. Janssen T. 17. Schmidt L. G. 11. Ait Mouhou N.
1. Ka I. (G) 2. Zwart J. 3. Natali A. 4. Elkjaer F. 5. Inge K. 6. Sijbrands J. 8. Oerip J. (C) 9. Bergraaf J. 7. Robbemond R. 11. Bouziane W. 10. de Wit H.
Substitutes
31. Davis M. 5. de Blok L. 1. Doornbusch T. (G) 35. el Anbri Y. 21. Gorlich L. 43. Hendrix D. 15. Joosten T. 34. Rais A. 22. Taylan Z. (G) 9. Tsigkas M. 47. van Grootel M.
18. Budko B. 12. Esajas J. 17. Hartog J. 14. Menu M. 23. Schipper J. (G) 15. Simons S. 19. Toppenberg K. 20. van Ouytsel K. 16. Zeggen K. (G)
Coaches
Dijkhuizen M.
Peereboom F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Bergraaf J. ⚽, de Wit H. (A),
22', 0 - 2, Robbemond R. ⚽, Bergraaf J. (A),
31', M'hand I. 🟨,
33', 1 - 2, Schmidt L. G. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Robbemond R. ↓, Hartog J. ↑,
49', 2 - 2, Schmidt L. G. ⚽, Janssen T. (A),
55', 2 - 3, Hartog J. ⚽, de Wit H. (A),
60', Heise P. ↓, de Blok L. ↑,
60', M'hand I. ↓, Gorlich L. ↑,
60', Janssen T. ↓, Rais A. ↑,
64', de Wit H. ↓, Toppenberg K. ↑,
64', Bergraaf J. ↓, Menu M. ↑,
66', 3 - 3, Verstraeten A. ⚽,
69', Schmidt L. G. ↓, Tsigkas M. ↑,
70', 4 - 3, Clancy E. ⚽, de Blok L. (A),
74', Vullers R. 🟨,
74', Hartog J. 🟨,
78', Bouziane W. ↓, Simons S. ↑,
83', Sijbrands J. ↓, Budko B. ↑,
90', de Blok L. 🟨,
90', Zwart J. 🟨,
90+3', 4 - 4, Hartog J. ⚽, Budko B. (A),
90+4', Clancy E. 🟨,
90+4', Toppenberg K. 🟨,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 2.
Venlo is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Jong AZ has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Venlo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Venlo holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Jong AZ: De Grand S.
(Inactive).
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Venlo has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:26 (averaging 1.2:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Venlo against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with 9:15 goals (averaging 1.1:1.9 per game).
Standings
Main
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Venlo
11
7
1
3
30:18
12
22
11
Jong AZ
11
4
2
5
26:22
4
14
Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now
Venlo: 7.39%
Last Results with these Odds
Jong AZ Alkmaar - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 33.21%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Netherlands
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Schoonderwaldt Y. (C) 
Clancy E. 
Blancquart G. 
Heise P. 
M'hand I. 
Verstraeten A. 
Natali A. 
Elkjaer F. 
Doornbusch T. (G) 
Tsigkas M. 
Budko B. 
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