Match Info

BOLIVIA: LEAGUE CUP - ROUND 5

Date: 21 July 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Roberto Jordán Cuéllar (Cobija)

Referee: Castro J. (Bol)


	Vaca Díez		Independiente Petroleros

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.75	4.5
	1.66	3.69	4.88
	2.05	3.4	3
	1.63	4	5.1	Watch
	1.65	3.75	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.26)	3.72 ↑ (3.28)	4.36 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vaca Díez
53.9%

Draw
24.9%

Independiente Petroleros
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

27.2%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

26.6%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vaca Díez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vaca Díez's performance.

Independiente Petroleros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Petroleros might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaca Díez than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vaca Díez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Petroleros could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Vaca Díez - Independiente Petroleros Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vaca Díez will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez E. (G) 14. Fernandez J. 3. Quinones Y. 4. Mizael Monteiro 26. Cruz D. 5. Morales R. 6. Borobobo V. 7. Cuadros D. 8. Taborga P. 11. Randerson 16. Briceno J.	13. Arauz G. (G) 28. Morales Paz O. J. 5. Diaz E. 29. Ibars S. 25. Castellon D. 18. Quiroga M. 23. Rivera E. 8. Gomez R. 10. Thomaz 27. Arroyo M. 22. Ramirez R.
Substitutes
36. El Hage J. 19. Escalante J. 25. Ibaguary A. 38. Maldonado D. 23. Moura D. 10. Parada F. 22. Paredes M. 13. Pena I. (G) 33. Pinto D. 17. Rodriguez D. 39. Vaca W. 34. Weverton Braz	30. Bejarano A. 34. Castedo L. (G) 35. de Lima M. 11. Godoy J. 7. Melgar V. 52. Mora C. 49. Paz Y.
Coaches
Fonseca C.	Pena A.

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Independiente Petroleros could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Vaca Díez will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vaca Díez won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Vaca Díez won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Vaca Díez
Bolivian Copa Pacena
12.07.23	Always Ready - Vaca Díez	3:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
08.07.23	Vaca Díez - Libertad Gran Mamoré	2:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
02.07.23	Vaca Díez - Universitario de Vinto	2:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
23.06.23	Vaca Díez - Aurora	2:3 ✺
03.06.23	Blooming - Vaca Díez	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLL
- Independiente Petroleros
Bolivian Division Profesional
17.07.23	The Strongest - Independiente Petroleros	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
13.07.23	Independiente Petroleros - Nacional Potosí	1:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
09.07.23	Independiente Petroleros - Royal Pari	4:2 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
03.07.23	Blooming - Independiente Petroleros	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
26.06.23	Independiente Petroleros - Guabirá	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
01.04.23	Vaca Díez - Independiente Petroleros	1:0
Bolivian Copa Simon Bolivar
20.12.20	Independiente Petroleros - Vaca Díez	3:1

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