Match Info

BOLIVIA: DIVISION PROFESIONAL - ROUND 31

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Libertad Gran Mamoré		Oriente Petrolero

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.5	2.45	Watch
	2.65	3.2	2.3
	2.85	3.4	2.3	Watch
	2.9	3.5	2.4
	2.9	3.38	2.4
	2.6	3.4	2.25
	2.8	3.35	2.4	Watch
	2.7	3.45	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.4)	3.4 ↑ (3.33)	2.36 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Libertad Gran Mamoré
33.5%

Draw
27.3%

Oriente Petrolero
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

27.4%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

27%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertad Gran Mamoré has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Oriente Petrolero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Gran Mamoré than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Libertad Gran Mamoré, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oriente Petrolero, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Libertad Gran Mamoré - Oriente Petrolero Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Oriente Petrolero will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vaca M. (G) 16. Tomicha P. 31. Virreira J. 22. Gil S. 4. Rodriguez D. 27. Taborga Y. 26. Rodriguez R. 30. Gomez Perez J. P. 37. Salces M. 53. Barbery Gil M. G. 20. Fernandez D.	1. Quinonez W. (G) 2. Rodriguez E. 8. Alvarez C. 19. Sanchez E. 3. Soleto W. 24. Guzman S. 5. Caire M. 30. Berdecio J. 99. Riquelme M. D. 37. Cristaldo J. 33. Menacho R.
Substitutes
46. Aguilera D. 23. Lemos M. 19. Medina A. 42. Montenegro L. 10. Oni F. 12. Paniagua R. (G) 9. Rios D. 97. Rodriguez F. 87. Tellez M.	27. Alvarez S. 11. Castillo J. 4. Flores J. 14. Mercado Galvez J. S. 36. Reyes J. 6. Rojas D. 77. Rojas J. 22. Valdivia D. (G) 35. Vargas J. 17. Zeballos L.
Coaches
Viviani Ribera H.	Puche Vicente A.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 9).

The competitors look crappy now.

Libertad Gran Mamoré could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Libertad Gran Mamoré won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Libertad Gran Mamoré won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertad Gran Mamoré
Bolivian Division Profesional
10.11.23	The Strongest - Libertad Gran Mamoré	8:0 ✺
05.11.23	Libertad Gran Mamoré - Royal Pari	0:2 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
02.11.23	Jorge Wilstermann - Libertad Gran Mamoré	4:1 ✺
30.10.23	Libertad Gran Mamoré - Bolívar	0:2 ✺
27.10.23	Real Tomayapo - Libertad Gran Mamoré	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLLLW
- Oriente Petrolero
Bolivian Division Profesional
12.11.23	Oriente Petrolero - Aurora	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	Blooming - Oriente Petrolero	2:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
02.11.23	Royal Pari - Oriente Petrolero	1:0 ✺
30.10.23	Oriente Petrolero - Jorge Wilstermann	1:1 ✺
27.10.23	Bolívar - Oriente Petrolero	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Copa Pacena
24.10.23	Oriente Petrolero - Libertad Gran Mamoré	1:2
Bolivian Division Profesional
11.06.23	Oriente Petrolero - Libertad Gran Mamoré	1:1
Bolivian Copa Pacena
17.05.23	Libertad Gran Mamoré - Oriente Petrolero	4:0
Club Friendly
15.01.23	Libertad Gran Mamoré - Oriente Petrolero	2:1

Upcoming Matches