The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vaduz 36.1%
Draw 23.6%
Basel 40.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.3%
23.4%
40.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.7%
22.4%
42.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vaduz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaduz than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Vaduz - Basel Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 11th in the Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 4th in the Promotion - Super League (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vaduz won 2.
Vaduz has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Basel is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Basel may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Vaduz has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:46 (averaging 1:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vaduz against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with 6:22 goals (averaging 0.6:2.2 per game).
Outrights of Swiss Super League for now
Basel: 6.42% Vaduz: 0.43%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Basel
9
4
1
4
17:17
0
13
11
Vaduz
9
2
0
7
18:21
-3
6
Last Results with these Odds
Vaduz - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 36.28%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
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