The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vaduz 38.5%
Draw 23%
Thun 38.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.7%
23.8%
41.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.3%
22.9%
43.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vaduz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Thun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaduz than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vaduz that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thun than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
66.7%
0%
Vaduz - Thun Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Vaduz will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Schaffran L. (G) 4. Hasler N. (C) 27. Lang N. 6. Simani D. 7. Schwizer D. 20. Mack L. 17. Stark J. 10. Cabrera J. 28. Cocic M. 9. Monsberger M. 11. Dalipi L.
1. Steffen N. (G) 37. Dahler L. 19. Bamert J. (C) 13. Zoukit N. 18. Strannegard T. 16. Roth J. 14. Kait M. 70. Reichmuth N. 8. Saiz F. 96. Labeau B. 9. Dursun F.
Substitutes
14. Beeli M. 1. Buchel B. (G) 37. Celentano L. 19. Djokic D. 38. Follmi N. (G) 23. Hammerich M. 18. Kasper D. 29. Sawadogo M. 30. Walker M.
26. Christoffersson N. 21. Derbaci D. 47. Fehr F. 15. Kristal P. 80. Lengen S. 30. Maier N. 2. Mambwa O. 54. Passavant L. 25. Spycher T. (G)
Coaches
Schneider M.
Privitelli G. L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
31', Zoukit N. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Dursun F. ⚽,
39', Bamert J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 0 - 2, Reichmuth N. ⚽, Dursun F. (A),
67', Roth J. 🟨,
67', Kait M. ↓, Christoffersson N. ↑,
67', Strannegard T. ↓, Mambwa O. ↑,
67', Dursun F. ↓, Maier N. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Monsberger M. ⚽, Dalipi L. (A),
74', Cabrera J. ↓, Djokic D. ↑,
74', Lang N. ↓, Beeli M. ↑,
77', Kait M. 🟨,
77', Cocic M. 🟨,
78', Reichmuth N. ↓, Fehr F. ↑,
80', Schwizer D. ↓, Sawadogo M. ↑,
86', Zoukit N. ↓, Passavant L. ↑,
88', Maier N. 🟨,
88', Hasler N. ↓, Walker M. ↑,
Preview
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 11th in the Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 10th in the Super League (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vaduz won 1.
Vaduz has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Thun has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Vaduz could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Vaduz: Akhalaia L.
(Injury)
Neelakandan R.
(Inactive)
Oehri T.
(Knee Injury)
Seiler S.
(Inactive)
Sorgic D.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Thun: Montolio G.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Vaduz: Eberhard M.
(Inactive).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Vaduz has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:48 (averaging 1.5:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vaduz against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 13:19 goals (averaging 1.3:1.9 per game).
Outrights of Swiss Super League for now
Thun: 1.28% Vaduz: 0.43%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Thun
9
3
1
5
15:23
-8
10
11
Vaduz
9
2
0
7
18:21
-3
6
Last Results with these Odds
Thun - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.53%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Switzerland
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Schaffran L. (G) 
Hasler N. (C) 
Simani D. 
Cocic M. 
Monsberger M. 
Strannegard T. 
Kait M. 
Reichmuth N. 
Labeau B. 
