Match Info

National - Round 33

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday

Location: Stade du Hainaut (Valenciennes)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV


	Valenciennes		Nancy

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.05
	2.9	3.2	2.34
	3.01	3.3	2.42
	2.9	3.12	2.36	Watch
	3.3	3	2.15
	2.91	3.22	2.34	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.61)	3.16 ↑ (3.09)	2.29 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valenciennes
30.5%

Draw
29.1%

Nancy
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

30.1%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

29.5%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valenciennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valenciennes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Valenciennes - Nancy Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Valenciennes will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Nancy will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nancy: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Valenciennes (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Nancy (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Valenciennes (2.16) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Valenciennes (votes: 4 - 50%). Nancy (votes: 4 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Michel M. (G) 11. Appuah S. 3. Basse S. 22. Boissier R. 17. Boutoutaou A. 20. Camblan A. 29. Coeff A. 12. Dibassy B. 13. Moursou J. 27. Oyewusi M. 18. Toure O.	30. Giagnorio M. (G) 20. Bokangu B. 8. Bouabdelli W. 6. Bouriaud T. 17. Carlier M. 10. Dabasse A. 19. Experience M. 12. Julloux A. 14. Saint-Ruf N. 11. Sidibe O. 25. Thiare A.
Substitutes
19. Buades L. 23. Gasnier K. 33. Kouakou K. 32. Ndinga P. 8. Traore D.	13. Camara B. 18. Ebonog S. 7. Gomel B. 27. Suljic C. 3. Tayot G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
9', Dibassy B. 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Dabasse A. ⚽,
19', 0 - 2, Dabasse A. ⚽, Experience M. (A),
26', 1 - 2, Boutoutaou A. ⚽,
34', 2 - 2, Appuah S. ⚽,
38', Basse S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Bouriaud T. ↓, Suljic C. ↑,
53', Carlier M. 🟨,
56', 2 - 3, Bokangu B. ⚽, Carlier M. (A),
58', Bouabdelli W. ↓, Ebonog S. ↑,
58', Sidibe O. ↓, Gomel B. ↑,
65', Carlier M. ↓, Camara B. ↑,
66', Boutoutaou A. ↓, Kouakou K. ↑,
66', Coeff A. ↓, Buades L. ↑,
72', Dabasse A. ↓, Tayot G. ↑,
74', Appuah S. 🟨,
75', 2 - 4, Gomel B. ⚽, Experience M. (A),
81', 3 - 4, Kouakou K. ⚽, Buades L. (A),
82', Camblan A. ↓, Traore D. ↑,
82', Oyewusi M. ↓, Gasnier K. ↑,
85', Gomel B. 🟨,
89', Moursou J. ↓, Ndinga P. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2).

Nancy is Qualified for Ligue 2

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valenciennes won 4.

Recent form of Valenciennes has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Nancy is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nancy might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Valenciennes: Antoine C. (Injury) Dibassy B. (Inactive) Diomande A. (Injury) Louchet J. (Knee Injury) Masson J. (Inactive) Poha J. (Inactive) Traore D. (Inactive) Venema N. (Injury)

There will not play in Nancy: Cisse S. I. (Injury) Fdaouch Z. (Injury) Gomel B. (Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Valenciennes won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Valenciennes won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valenciennes FC
French Ligue 3
02.05.25	Paris 13 Atletico - Valenciennes	1:1 ✺
25.04.25	Valenciennes - Le Mans	0:1 ✺
11.04.25	Valenciennes - Quevilly	0:0 ✺
04.04.25	Bourg-Péronnas - Valenciennes	1:0 ✺
28.03.25	Valenciennes - Boulogne	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLTLL
- AS Nancy Lorraine
French Ligue 3
02.05.25	Nancy - Nîmes	1:0 ✺
25.04.25	Orleans - Nancy	1:5 ✺
18.04.25	Nancy - Aubagne	2:0 ✺
11.04.25	Nancy - Châteauroux	1:0 ✺
04.04.25	Paris 13 Atletico - Nancy	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
18.01.25	Nancy - Valenciennes	1:2
French Ligue 2
01.02.22	Valenciennes - Nancy	6:1
14.08.21	Nancy - Valenciennes	0:1
01.05.21	Nancy - Valenciennes	1:3
05.01.21	Valenciennes - Nancy	2:3
10.01.20	Nancy - Valenciennes	1:0
02.08.19	Valenciennes - Nancy	1:1

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