Match Info

National - Round 31

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday

Location: Stade du Hainaut (Valenciennes)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV
World	FIFA+


	Valenciennes		Le Mans

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.2
	3.2	3.05	2.28
	3.58	3.11	2.27
	3.21	2.99	2.26	Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.25
	3.39	3.04	2.18	Watch
	3.2	3.05	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.82)	3.02 ↓ (3.05)	2.25 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valenciennes
28.4%

Draw
30.5%

Le Mans
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

30.4%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

30%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valenciennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Valenciennes - Le Mans Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Valenciennes will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Le Mans will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Mans: 64.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Le Mans (1.31) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Michel M. (G) 29. Coeff A. 12. Dibassy B. 19. Buades L. 5. Poha J. 14. Sissoko S. 20. Camblan A. 6. Masson J. 3. Basse S. 33. Kouakou K. 27. Oyewusi M.	16. Kocik N. (G) 17. Yohou S. 34. Matumona J. 33. Bernardeau G. 3. Burlet V. 5. Voyer H. 8. Lauray A. 21. Eyoum T. 6. Quarshie E. 9. Rabillard A. 15. Vula A.
Substitutes
11. Appuah S. 22. Boissier R. 17. Boutoutaou A. 32. Ndinga P. 8. Traore D.	25. Gueye D. 18. Lamgahez Z. 26. Oggad B. 29. Oudjani A. 27. Rossignol M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Oyewusi M. 🟨,
36', Burlet V. 🟨,
38', Masson J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Sissoko S. 🟨,
55', Masson J. ↓, Traore D. ↑,
66', Quarshie E. ↓, Rossignol M. ↑,
66', Vula A. ↓, Gueye D. ↑,
71', Eyoum T. ↓, Lamgahez Z. ↑,
71', Oyewusi M. ↓, Appuah S. ↑,
76', Matumona J. ↓, Oudjani A. ↑,
76', Bernardeau G. ↓, Oggad B. ↑,
78', Coeff A. 🟨,
79', 🟨,
81', Yohou S. 🟨,
83', Yohou S. 🟨,
87', 0 - 1, Rabillard A. ⚽, Gueye D. (A),
90+2', Poha J. ↓, Boutoutaou A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2).

Valenciennes is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Le Mans is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Valenciennes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Le Mans will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Valenciennes won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Valenciennes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valenciennes FC
French Ligue 3
11.04.25	Valenciennes - Quevilly	0:0 ✺
04.04.25	Bourg-Péronnas - Valenciennes	1:0 ✺
28.03.25	Valenciennes - Boulogne	2:3 ✺
21.03.25	Dijon - Valenciennes	2:1 ✺
14.03.25	Valenciennes - Sochaux	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLLLW
- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 3
18.04.25	Le Mans - Nîmes	4:0 ✺
11.04.25	Orleans - Le Mans	1:2 ✺
04.04.25	Le Mans - Aubagne	1:1 ✺
28.03.25	Nancy - Le Mans	2:0 ✺
21.03.25	Le Mans - Paris 13 Atletico	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Coupe De France
14.01.25	Le Mans - Valenciennes	2:1 penalties
French Ligue 3
13.12.24	Le Mans - Valenciennes	2:1
French Ligue 2
24.01.20	Valenciennes - Le Mans	1:0
09.08.19	Le Mans - Valenciennes	1:2

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