Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 30

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade du Hainaut (Valenciennes)

Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport
France	beIN Sports


	Valenciennes		Saint-Étienne

	1	X	2
	6	4.2	1.5	Watch
	6.5	4.33	1.46
	6.5	4.2	1.47	Watch
	7.8	4.21	1.5
	7.75	4.21	1.45
	7.5	4.33	1.4
	7.2	4.46	1.49	Watch
	6.6	4.3	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.98 ↑ (4.93)	4.28 ↑ (3.59)	1.47 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valenciennes
13.5%

Draw
22.1%

Saint-Étienne
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

26.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

25.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valenciennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valenciennes's form might have worsened.

Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saint-Étienne's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saint-Étienne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.2%	3.2%	93.5%

Valenciennes - Saint Étienne Predictions

Users Predictions: Saint-Étienne will win (29 of 31 users predict this - 93.55%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Louchet J. (G) 14. Cuffaut J. (C) 44. Kayi Sanda J. 15. Woudenberg L. 3. Basse S. 22. El Amri Y. 13. Moursou J. 8. Banse S. 34. Lilepo M. 9. Doucoure S. 90. Oyewusi M.	30. Larsonneur G. (G) 27. Macon Y. 23. Briancon A. (C) 3. Nade M. 19. Petrot L. 5. Tardieu F. 11. Cardona I. 29. Moueffek A. 14. Chambost D. 10. Mbuku N. 9. Sissoko I.
Substitutes
55. Ba I. 30. Diabate L. (G) 96. Flamarion 20. Hamache I. 18. Jung A. 93. Knockaert A. 6. Masson J.	21. Batubinsika D. 13. Bentayg M. 6. Bouchouari B. 18. Cafaro M. 26. Fomba L. 42. Green E. (G) 7. Monconduit T.
Coaches
Kantari A.	Dall'Oglio O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', Cardona I. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Sissoko I. ⚽, Macon Y. (A),
30', 0 - 2, Cardona I. ⚽, Chambost D. (A),
40', Oyewusi M. ↓, Flamarion ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Macon Y. 🟨,
62', Basse S. ↓, Masson J. ↑,
62', Doucoure S. ↓, Knockaert A. ↑,
62', El Amri Y. ↓, Hamache I. ↑,
68', Mbuku N. ↓, Cafaro M. ↑,
68', Moueffek A. ↓, Monconduit T. ↑,
69', Cuffaut J. ↓, Ba I. ↑,
79', Nade M. ↓, Batubinsika D. ↑,
79', Petrot L. ↓, Bentayg M. ↑,
90', Cardona I. ↓, Bouchouari B. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valenciennes won 0.

Recent matches Valenciennes is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Saint-Étienne is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Saint-Étienne is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Valenciennes won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Valenciennes won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valenciennes FC
French Ligue 2
16.03.24	Guingamp - Valenciennes	3:0 ✺
09.03.24	Valenciennes - Angers	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Auxerre - Valenciennes	0:0 ✺
Coupe De France
28.02.24	Rouen FC - Valenciennes	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
24.02.24	Valenciennes - Rodez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LTTWL
- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2
16.03.24	Bastia - Saint-Étienne	0:4 ✺
09.03.24	Saint-Étienne - Auxerre	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Paris FC - Saint-Étienne	0:0 ✺
24.02.24	Saint-Étienne - Annecy	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Angers - Saint-Étienne	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
02.09.23	Saint-Étienne - Valenciennes	0:0
02.06.23	Saint-Étienne - Valenciennes	2:0
27.08.22	Valenciennes - Saint-Étienne	2:2
French Ligue 1
01.02.14	Saint-Étienne - Valenciennes	3:0
14.09.13	Valenciennes - Saint-Étienne	1:3
12.04.13	Valenciennes - Saint-Étienne	0:0
23.11.12	Saint-Étienne - Valenciennes	1:0

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