Match Info

NPL Northern NSW - Round 22

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Croudace Bay Complex (Lake Macquarie)


	Valentine Phoenix		Weston Bears

	1	X	2
	4.1	4.75	1.5	Watch
	4.75	4.40	1.53
	4.40	4.10	1.52
	5.18	4.86	1.48
	4.29	4.63	1.61
	5.1	4.8	1.42
	4.3	4.98	1.57	Watch
	4.5	4.5	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↑ (4.4)	4.63 ↑ (4.1)	1.52 (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentine Phoenix
20%

Draw
19.8%

Weston Bears
60.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.1%

21.6%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

20.7%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentine Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Weston Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentine Phoenix than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weston Bears than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Valentine Phoenix - Weston Bears Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs: )).

Weston Bears is Qualified for NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs )

Recent performances by Valentine have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Weston Bears is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Valentine may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Weston Bears is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Valentine won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Valentine won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentine Phoenix
Australian NPL Northern NSW
08.08.26	Newcastle Olympic - Valentine Phoenix	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Adamstown Rosebud - Valentine Phoenix	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Valentine Phoenix - Charlestown Azzurri	1:0 ✺
11.07.26	Valentine Phoenix - Kahibah	3:2 ✺
03.07.26	Cooks Hill United - Valentine Phoenix	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLWWL
- Weston Bears FC
Australian NPL Northern NSW
12.08.26	Weston Bears - Adamstown Rosebud	4:2 ✺
08.08.26	Edgeworth Eagles - Weston Bears	0:0 ✺
Australian Cup
26.07.26	Weston Bears - Melbourne City	0:3 ✺
Australian NPL Northern NSW
18.07.26	Weston Bears - Kahibah	5:2 ✺
15.07.26	Charlestown Azzurri - Weston Bears	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Northern NSW
09.05.26	Weston Bears - Valentine Phoenix	0:2
10.08.25	Valentine Phoenix - Weston Bears	0:2
10.05.25	Weston Bears - Valentine Phoenix	2:1

Valentine Phoenix - Weston Bears: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide