Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 9

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio José Zorrilla (Valladolid)

Referee: Fuertes P. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Variety 2, ZAP
Angola	Z Sport La Liga
Argentina	DGO
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Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
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Croatia	Arena Sport 7, Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
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Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
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Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	SCTV Online
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, SportsMax App


	Valladolid		Rayo Vallecano

	1	X	2
	3.3	3	2.4	Watch
	3.2	2.95	2.45
	3.3	3.1	2.45	Watch
	3.37	3.02	2.5
	3.39	2.95	2.49	Watch
	3.2	2.9	2.6
	3.42	3.07	2.52	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (2.83)	3.01 ↓ (3.05)	2.48 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid
29.1%

Draw
32%

Rayo Vallecano
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

31.4%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

34.2%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	45.5%	27.3%

Valladolid - Rayo Vallecano Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Valladolid will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.7% – 66.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Hein K. (G) 2. Perez L. (C) 35. Juma Bah A. 3. Torres D. 22. Rosa L. 12. Martin M. 15. Comert E. 21. Amallah S. 19. Ndiaye A. 14. Latasa J. 18. Machis D.	13. Batalla A. (G) 2. Ratiu A. 24. Lejeune F. 16. Mumin A. 20. Balliu I. 19. de Frutos J. 17. Lopez U. 23. Valentin O. (C) 21. Embarba A. 7. Palazon I. 14. Camello S.
Substitutes
36. Aceves A. (G) 23. Anuar 1. Ferreira A. (G) 20. Juric S. 24. Kenedy 9. Marcos Andre 4. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 11. Moro R. 8. Perez K. 30. Ruiz R. C. 10. Sanchez I. 7. Sylla M.	1. Cardenas D. (G) 6. Ciss P. 26. de las Sias M. 9. de Tomas R. 4. Diaz P. 18. Garcia A. 12. Guardiola S. 15. Gumbau G. 5. Hernandez A. 11. Nteka R. 10. Rodriguez J. 8. Trejo O.
Coaches
Pezzolano P.	Perez I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Comert E. 🟨,
32', Latasa J. 🟨,
34', Pezzolano P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Comert E. ↓, Juric S. ↑,
46', Machis D. ↓, Moro R. ↑,
46', Latasa J. ↓, Marcos Andre ↑,
49', Rosa L. 🟨,
51', 1 - 0, Amallah S. ⚽, Moro R. (A),
57', 1 - 1, de Frutos J. ⚽, Palazon I. (A),
62', Torres D. 🟨,
63', Valentin O. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
63', Embarba A. ↓, Gumbau G. ↑,
68', Ndiaye A. ↓, Anuar ↑,
77', Camello S. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
77', Palazon I. ↓, Guardiola S. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, de Frutos J. ⚽,
82', Lopez U. 🟨,
83', Lopez U. ↓, Ciss P. ↑,
83', Amallah S. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
90+6', Balliu I. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valladolid won 3.

Valladolid has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Rayo Vallecano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Valladolid could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Valladolid: Anuar (Hernia) Ozkacar C. (Muscle Injury) Sanchez J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Chavarria P. (Muscle Injury) Espino A. (Foot Injury) Mendez D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Valladolid: Perez L. (Injury) de la Hoz C. (Injury)

Last 18 head-to-head matches Valladolid won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 29:22 (average 1.6:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Valladolid won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19:11 (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga
27.09.24	Valladolid - Mallorca	1:2 ✺
24.09.24	Sevilla - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Valladolid - Real Sociedad	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Celta de Vigo - Valladolid	3:1 ✺
31.08.24	Barcelona - Valladolid	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLTLL
- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga
28.09.24	Rayo Vallecano - Leganés	1:1 ✺
25.09.24	Girona - Rayo Vallecano	0:0 ✺
22.09.24	Rayo Vallecano - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
16.09.24	Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna	3:1 ✺
31.08.24	Espanyol - Rayo Vallecano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
02.08.23	Valladolid - Rayo Vallecano	3:2
Spanish LaLiga
04.05.23	Rayo Vallecano - Valladolid	2:1
14.01.23	Valladolid - Rayo Vallecano	0:1
Club Friendly
04.08.21	Valladolid - Rayo Vallecano	3:1
Spanish LaLiga
12.05.19	Rayo Vallecano - Valladolid	1:2
05.01.19	Valladolid - Rayo Vallecano	0:1
Spanish LaLiga2
04.03.18	Valladolid - Rayo Vallecano	1:1

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