Match Info

LaLiga - Round 37

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio José Zorrilla (Valladolid)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Supersport Action
Argentina	Disney+, Flow Eventos
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	beIN Connect
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 4
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
India	FanCode, FanCode, GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Mexico	Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport Action
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
South-africa	SuperSport Action
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN LaLiga 4, LaLiga TV Bar, Max
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 11, Blue Sport 11
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 17
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	SCTV Online


	Valladolid		Deportivo Alavés

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.6	1.7	Watch
	6	3.8	1.58
	5	3.75	1.75	Watch
	5.5	3.72	1.73
	5.09	3.55	1.8	Watch
	6	3.7	1.6
	5.51	3.76	1.76	Watch
	5	3.75	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.42 ↓ (5.63)	3.7 ↓ (3.9)	1.71 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid
17.7%

Draw
26%

Deportivo Alavés
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.1%

24.7%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

21.3%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Alavés, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.8%	19.2%	76.9%

Valladolid - Deportivo Alavés Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Valladolid will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). Alavés will win (votes: 18 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alavés: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Alavés (votes: 6 - 50%). Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH 0 - Valladolid (3.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DC - Valladolid (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Valladolid (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Alavés (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Hein K. (G) 22. Candela A. 4. Nikitscher T. 6. Ozkacar C. 23. Anuar 12. Martin M. 21. Amallah S. 39. Aznou A. 41. Moreno X. 11. Moro R. 14. Latasa J.	1. Sivera A. (G) 14. Tenaglia N. 2. Garces F. 12. Mourino S. 3. Sanchez M. 8. Blanco A. 7. Vicente C. 6. Guevara A. (C) 21. Alena C. 17. Garcia K. 18. Guridi J.
Substitutes
38. Alani I. 29. Arnuncio A. 15. Comert E. 1. Ferreira A. (G) 8. Grillitsch F. 17. Henrique 18. Machis D. 9. Marcos Andre 19. Ndiaye A. 33. Parente I. 10. Sanchez I. 7. Sylla M.	19. Cabanes P. 10. Conechny T. 24. Joan Jordan 15. Martin C. 11. Martinez T. 16. Novoa Ramos H. 13. Owono J. (G) 36. Pica A. 23. Protesoni C. 31. Rodriguez A. (G) 4. Sedlar A. 9. Villalibre A.
Coaches
Rubio A.	Coudet E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Garcia K. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Amallah S. ↓, Alani I. ↑,
46', Moreno X. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
46', Martin M. ↓, Grillitsch F. ↑,
65', Guridi J. ↓, Joan Jordan ↑,
65', Alena C. ↓, Conechny T. ↑,
73', Anuar ↓, Arnuncio A. ↑,
86', Candela A. ↓, Ndiaye A. ↑,
86', Blanco A. ↓, Protesoni C. ↑,
90', Vicente C. 🟨,
90+4', Conechny T. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 17).

Valladolid is Relegated to LaLiga2

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 2.

Valladolid is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Alavés has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Valladolid may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alavés is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Valladolid: Aidoo J. (Hamstring Injury) Chuki (Muscle Injury) Kenedy (Coach's decision) Sanchez J. (Muscle Injury) Torres D. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Alavés: Abqar A. (Hamstring Injury) Diarra M. (Broken nose)

There are questionable in Valladolid: Juric S. (Shoulder Injury) Parente I. (Injury)

We predict that Alavés will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Valladolid won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga
13.05.25	Valladolid - Girona	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Mallorca - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Valladolid - Barcelona	1:2 ✺
24.04.25	Betis - Valladolid	5:1 ✺
20.04.25	Valladolid - Osasuna	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga
14.05.25	Deportivo Alavés - Valencia	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid	0:0 ✺
23.04.25	Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Sevilla - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
18.10.24	Deportivo Alavés - Valladolid	2:3
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.01.23	Deportivo Alavés - Valladolid	1:0
Spanish LaLiga
05.02.21	Deportivo Alavés - Valladolid	1:0
25.10.20	Valladolid - Deportivo Alavés	0:2
04.07.20	Valladolid - Deportivo Alavés	1:0
09.11.19	Deportivo Alavés - Valladolid	3:0
19.04.19	Deportivo Alavés - Valladolid	2:2

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