Match Info

LaLiga - Round 32

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio José Zorrilla (Valladolid) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	09:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	16:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	22:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	14:00	DAZN
Belgium	14:00	DAZN 1
Brazil	09:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	15:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	08:00	TSN+
Chile	08:00	Disney+
China	20:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	07:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	14:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	14:00	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	14:00	TV2 Play
Finland	15:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	14:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Georgia	16:00	Silk Sport 1
Germany	14:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	15:00	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	20:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	14:00	TV2 Play Premium
India	17:30	GXR World
Indonesia	19:00	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	15:00	ONE Sport
Italy	14:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	21:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	15:00	Gotv
Laos	19:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	20:00	beIN Connect
Maldives	17:00	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	14:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	06:00	Sky Sport
Netherlands	14:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	00:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	13:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
Norway	14:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	07:00	Disney+
Philippines	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	14:00	CANAL+ Sport 4
Portugal	13:00	DAZN 3
Romania	15:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	15:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	14:00	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	14:00	Voyo
South Africa	14:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	21:00	Coupang Play
Spain	14:00	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV
Sweden	14:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	14:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Taiwan	20:00	DAZN
Tanzania	15:00	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	19:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	15:00	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	15:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport
United Kingdom	13:00	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	09:00	Disney+
Usa	08:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	08:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	19:00	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
International	12:00	Disney+


	Valladolid		Osasuna

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.5	1.73	Watch
	4.75	3.4	1.8
	4.75	3.75	1.78	Watch
	5.09	3.75	1.77
	5.21	3.61	1.77	Watch
	4.4	3.5	1.8
	5.6	3.58	1.74	Watch
	4.75	3.75	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.98 ↑ (4.15)	3.61 ↑ (3.54)	1.77 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid
19.3%

Draw
26.6%

Osasuna
54.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.1%

27.1%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Osasuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valladolid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Osasuna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12%	12%	76%

Valladolid - Osasuna Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Valladolid will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). Osasuna will win (votes: 18 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osasuna: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Osasuna (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Osasuna will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Valladolid (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Osasuna (votes: 7 - 87.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ferreira A. (G) 22. Candela A. 16. Aidoo J. 5. Sanchez J. (C) 17. Henrique 20. Juric S. 11. Moro R. 28. Chuki 8. Grillitsch F. 18. Machis D. 14. Latasa J.	1. Herrera S. (C) 12. Areso J. 22. Boyomo F. 24. Catena A. 5. Herrando J. 23. Bretones A. 7. Moncayola J. 6. Torro L. 10. Oroz A. 17. Budimir A. 14. Garcia R.
Substitutes
21. Amallah S. 39. Aznou A. 15. Comert E. 9. Marcos Andre 12. Martin M. 19. Ndiaye A. 4. Nikitscher T. 6. Ozkacar C. 26. Rafus A. (G) 10. Sanchez I. 7. Sylla M. 3. Torres D.	20. Arnaiz J. M. 11. Barja K. 3. Cruz J. 13. Fernandez A. (G) 4. Garcia U. 16. Gomez M. 8. Ibanez P. 18. Munoz I. 36. Ogbuehi S. 15. Pena R. 31. Valencia P. (G) 19. Zaragoza B.
Coaches
Rubio A.	Moreno V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', Moncayola J. ↓, Ibanez P. ↑,
9', 0 - 1, Budimir A. ⚽, Garcia R. (A),
34', 0 - 2, Garcia R. ⚽, Areso J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Grillitsch F. ↓, Sylla M. ↑,
46', Machis D. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
49', 1 - 2, Moro R. ⚽,
60', 1 - 3, Budimir A. (Pen),
63', Henrique ↓, Aznou A. ↑,
63', Chuki ↓, Martin M. ↑,
66', 2 - 3, Sylla M. (Pen),
74', Garcia R. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
79', Sanchez J. 🟨,
86', Latasa J. ↓, Marcos Andre ↑,
86', Areso J. ↓, Pena R. ↑,
87', Ibanez P. ↓, Munoz I. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valladolid won 0.

Valladolid has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Osasuna is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Osasuna is a favorite.

There will not play in Valladolid: Hein K. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Osasuna: Garcia R. (Eye injury)

Last 19 head-to-head matches Valladolid won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 13:22 (average 0.7:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Valladolid won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:11 (average 0.9:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga
14.04.25	Atlético Madrid - Valladolid	4:2 ✺
06.04.25	Valladolid - Getafe	0:4 ✺
29.03.25	Real Sociedad - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Valladolid - Celta de Vigo	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Valencia - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Osasuna
Spanish LaLiga
13.04.25	Osasuna - Girona	2:1 ✺
07.04.25	Leganés - Osasuna	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Athletic Bilbao - Osasuna	0:0 ✺
27.03.25	Barcelona - Osasuna	3:0 ✺
16.03.25	Osasuna - Getafe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
02.11.24	Osasuna - Valladolid	1:0
12.02.23	Valladolid - Osasuna	0:0
30.10.22	Osasuna - Valladolid	2:0
Club Friendly
22.09.22	Valladolid - Osasuna	0:2
Spanish LaLiga
13.03.21	Osasuna - Valladolid	0:0
11.12.20	Valladolid - Osasuna	3:2
18.01.20	Osasuna - Valladolid	0:0

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