Match Info

LaLiga - Round 36

Date: 13 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio José Zorrilla (Valladolid)

Referee: Quintero A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode, GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Iran	Aio Sport, IRIB Varzesh
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Taiwan	DAZN
Tajikistan	Futbol TV, Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online


	Valladolid		Girona

	1	X	2
	4.5	4	1.73	Watch
	4.6	3.9	1.72
	4.5	4	1.75	Watch
	4.71	4	1.76
	4.66	3.86	1.78	Watch
	5	3.9	1.62
	4.78	3.99	1.8	Watch
	4.5	4	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.66 ↑ (4.65)	3.96 ↑ (3.85)	1.74 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid
20.6%

Draw
24.2%

Girona
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

24.3%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

20.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Girona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.5%	12.7%	77.8%

Valladolid - Girona Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.75 - Valladolid (1.88) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1 - Girona (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Valladolid (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Girona will win (47 of 58 users predict this - 81.03%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.94% – 91.12%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Girona will win (24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 34 Selected Experts predict this event. Valladolid (votes: 6 - 17.6%). Girona (votes: 26 - 76.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 5.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Hein K. (G) 23. Anuar (C) 33. Parente I. 6. Ozkacar C. 17. Henrique 15. Comert E. 12. Martin M. 28. Chuki 8. Grillitsch F. 11. Moro R. 14. Latasa J.	13. Gazzaniga P. (G) 4. Martinez A. (C) 5. Lopez D. 15. Juanpe 17. Blind D. 14. Romeu O. 12. Arthur Melo 8. Tsygankov V. 24. Portu 10. Asprilla Y. 9. Ruiz A.
Substitutes
38. Alani I. 21. Amallah S. 29. Arnuncio A. 39. Aznou A. 22. Candela A. 1. Ferreira A. (G) 18. Machis D. 9. Marcos Andre 19. Ndiaye A. 4. Nikitscher T. 10. Sanchez I. 7. Sylla M.	11. Danjuma A. 16. Frances A. 31. Jastin G. 1. Juan Carlos (G) 25. Krapyvtsov V. (G) 23. Martin I. 19. Miovski B. 22. Solis Romero J. E. 7. Stuani C. 35. Yaakobishvili A.
Coaches
Rubio A.	Michel

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Chuki ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Martinez A. ↓, Frances A. ↑,
63', Portu ↓, Martin I. ↑,
66', Henrique ↓, Aznou A. ↑,
66', Grillitsch F. ↓, Alani I. ↑,
66', Latasa J. ↓, Sylla M. ↑,
71', Ruiz A. ↓, Stuani C. ↑,
71', Asprilla Y. ↓, Danjuma A. ↑,
72', Parente I. ↓, Nikitscher T. ↑,
80', 0 - 1, Stuani C. ⚽, Lopez D. (A),
90+2', Arthur Melo ↓, Solis Romero J. E. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 15).

Valladolid is Relegated to LaLiga2

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 1.

Valladolid has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Girona is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Girona is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Valladolid: Aidoo J. (Injury) Juric S. (Coach's decision) Kenedy (Coach's decision) Sanchez J. (Muscle Injury) Torres D. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Girona: Artero R. (Ankle Injury) Gil B. (Knee Injury) Gutierrez M. (Ankle Injury) Herrera Y. (Yellow Cards) Krejci L. (Yellow Cards) Misehouy G. (Thigh Injury) van de Beek D. (Tendon Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Valladolid won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.4:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga
10.05.25	Mallorca - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Valladolid - Barcelona	1:2 ✺
24.04.25	Betis - Valladolid	5:1 ✺
20.04.25	Valladolid - Osasuna	2:3 ✺
14.04.25	Atlético Madrid - Valladolid	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga
10.05.25	Girona - Villarreal	0:1 ✺
05.05.25	Girona - Mallorca	1:0 ✺
24.04.25	Leganés - Girona	1:1 ✺
21.04.25	Girona - Betis	1:3 ✺
13.04.25	Osasuna - Girona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
20.12.24	Girona - Valladolid	3:0
22.04.23	Valladolid - Girona	1:0
09.09.22	Girona - Valladolid	2:1
Spanish LaLiga2
12.02.22	Valladolid - Girona	2:2
18.09.21	Girona - Valladolid	1:0
Spanish LaLiga
23.04.19	Valladolid - Girona	1:0
17.08.18	Girona - Valladolid	0:0

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