Match Info

LaLiga - Round 36

Date: 13 May 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio José Zorrilla (Valladolid) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Quintero A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	21:00	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	19:00	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	21:00	Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	19:00	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	19:00	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	14:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	20:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	13:00	TSN+
Chile	13:00	Disney+
China	01:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	19:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	19:00	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	19:00	TV2 Play
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	20:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	19:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Georgia	21:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	19:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	20:00	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	01:00	M Plus Live, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	19:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	22:30	FanCode, FanCode, GXR World
Indonesia	00:00	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Iran	20:30	Aio Sport, IRIB Varzesh
Israel	20:00	ONE Sport
Italy	19:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	02:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	20:00	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	23:00	Setanta Sports 1
Laos	00:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	22:00	ICE Plus, Medianet
Mexico	11:00	Sky Sport
Moldova	20:00	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	19:00	Ziggo Sport 5, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	05:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	18:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
Norway	19:00	TV2 Play
Peru	12:00	Disney+
Philippines	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	19:00	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	18:00	DAZN 1
Romania	20:00	Prima Sport 2
Russia	20:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	19:00	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	01:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	19:00	Voyo
South Africa	19:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
South Korea	02:00	Coupang Play
Spain	19:00	DAZN Espana, LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV
Sweden	19:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	19:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Taiwan	01:00	DAZN
Tajikistan	22:00	Futbol TV, Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	00:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	20:00	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	22:00	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	20:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Kingdom	18:00	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	14:00	Disney+
Usa	13:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	22:00	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	13:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	00:00	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online


	Valladolid		Girona

	1	X	2
	4.5	4	1.73	Watch
	4.6	3.9	1.72
	4.5	4	1.75	Watch
	4.71	4	1.76
	4.66	3.86	1.78	Watch
	5	3.9	1.62
	4.78	3.99	1.8	Watch
	4.5	4	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.66 ↑ (4.65)	3.96 ↑ (3.85)	1.74 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid
20.6%

Draw
24.2%

Girona
55.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.1%

24.3%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

20.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Girona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.5%	12.7%	77.8%

Valladolid - Girona Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.75 - Valladolid (1.88) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1 - Girona (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Valladolid (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Girona will win (47 of 58 users predict this - 81.03%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.94% – 91.12%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Girona will win (24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 34 Selected Experts predict this event. Valladolid (votes: 6 - 17.6%). Girona (votes: 26 - 76.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 5.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Hein K. (G) 23. Anuar (C) 33. Parente I. 6. Ozkacar C. 17. Henrique 15. Comert E. 12. Martin M. 28. Chuki 8. Grillitsch F. 11. Moro R. 14. Latasa J.	13. Gazzaniga P. (G) 4. Martinez A. (C) 5. Lopez D. 15. Juanpe 17. Blind D. 14. Romeu O. 12. Arthur Melo 8. Tsygankov V. 24. Portu 10. Asprilla Y. 9. Ruiz A.
Substitutes
38. Alani I. 21. Amallah S. 29. Arnuncio A. 39. Aznou A. 22. Candela A. 1. Ferreira A. (G) 18. Machis D. 9. Marcos Andre 19. Ndiaye A. 4. Nikitscher T. 10. Sanchez I. 7. Sylla M.	11. Danjuma A. 16. Frances A. 31. Jastin G. 1. Juan Carlos (G) 25. Krapyvtsov V. (G) 23. Martin I. 19. Miovski B. 22. Solis Romero J. E. 7. Stuani C. 35. Yaakobishvili A.
Coaches
Rubio A.	Michel

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Chuki ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Martinez A. ↓, Frances A. ↑,
63', Portu ↓, Martin I. ↑,
66', Henrique ↓, Aznou A. ↑,
66', Grillitsch F. ↓, Alani I. ↑,
66', Latasa J. ↓, Sylla M. ↑,
71', Ruiz A. ↓, Stuani C. ↑,
71', Asprilla Y. ↓, Danjuma A. ↑,
72', Parente I. ↓, Nikitscher T. ↑,
80', 0 - 1, Stuani C. ⚽, Lopez D. (A),
90+2', Arthur Melo ↓, Solis Romero J. E. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 15).

Valladolid is Relegated to LaLiga2

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 1.

Valladolid has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Girona is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Girona is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Valladolid: Aidoo J. (Injury) Juric S. (Coach's decision) Kenedy (Coach's decision) Sanchez J. (Muscle Injury) Torres D. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Girona: Artero R. (Ankle Injury) Gil B. (Knee Injury) Gutierrez M. (Ankle Injury) Herrera Y. (Yellow Cards) Krejci L. (Yellow Cards) Misehouy G. (Thigh Injury) van de Beek D. (Tendon Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Valladolid won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.4:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga
10.05.25	Mallorca - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Valladolid - Barcelona	1:2 ✺
24.04.25	Betis - Valladolid	5:1 ✺
20.04.25	Valladolid - Osasuna	2:3 ✺
14.04.25	Atlético Madrid - Valladolid	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga
10.05.25	Girona - Villarreal	0:1 ✺
05.05.25	Girona - Mallorca	1:0 ✺
24.04.25	Leganés - Girona	1:1 ✺
21.04.25	Girona - Betis	1:3 ✺
13.04.25	Osasuna - Girona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
20.12.24	Girona - Valladolid	3:0
22.04.23	Valladolid - Girona	1:0
09.09.22	Girona - Valladolid	2:1
Spanish LaLiga2
12.02.22	Valladolid - Girona	2:2
18.09.21	Girona - Valladolid	1:0
Spanish LaLiga
23.04.19	Valladolid - Girona	1:0
17.08.18	Girona - Valladolid	0:0

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