Match Info

LaLiga - Round 31

Date: 14 April 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Diaz I. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	21:00	K-Sport 1
Angola	20:00	Z Sport La Liga
Argentina	16:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Australia	05:00	beIN Connect
Austria	21:00	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	21:00	DAZN 1
Brazil	16:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	15:00	TSN 5, TSN+
Chile	15:00	DirecTV Sports
China	03:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Ecuador	14:00	DirecTV Sports
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	23:00	Silk Sport 1
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports 1
Haiti	15:00	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong Kong	03:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	21:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	00:30	GXR World
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	22:00	ONE Sport
Italy	21:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	K Sport 1
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	00:00	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	13:00	Sky Sport
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	07:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	20:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Papua New Guinea	05:00	TVWan Sports
Peru	14:00	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	22:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	03:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South Korea	04:00	Coupang Play
Spain	21:00	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	21:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Zoom
Taiwan	03:00	DAZN
Tanzania	22:00	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	22:00	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Kingdom	20:00	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	16:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	15:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	15:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	02:00	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
International	19:00	Disney+, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia


	Atlético Madrid		Valladolid

	1	X	2
	1.09	9	26	Watch
	1.14	9	18.5
	1.09	10	41	Watch
	1.12	9.07	28.22
	1.12	9	21
	1.09	9	26	Watch
	1.09	10	41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 ↓ (1.2)	9.3 ↑ (7.38)	28.82 ↑ (14.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid
86.4%

Draw
10.3%

Valladolid
3.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

80.5%

13%

6.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Madrid's performance.

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.5%	5.9%	19.6%

Atlético Madrid - Valladolid Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Atlético will win (votes: 38 - 74.5%). Valladolid will win (votes: 10 - 19.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 62.5% – 86.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.25 - Atlético (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - no (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlético Madrid will win (14 of 18 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Valladolid (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Oblak J. (G) 14. Llorente M. 2. Gimenez J. M. 15. Lenglet C. 21. Galan J. 22. Simeone G. 6. Koke (C) 8. Barrios P. 4. Gallagher C. 7. Griezmann A. 19. Alvarez J.	1. Ferreira A. (G) 22. Candela A. 16. Aidoo J. 5. Sanchez J. (C) 17. Henrique 20. Juric S. 18. Machis D. 8. Grillitsch F. 23. Anuar 28. Chuki 7. Sylla M.
Substitutes
3. Azpilicueta C. 31. Gomis A. (G) 47. Janneh O. 11. Lemar T. 24. Le Normand R. 23. Mandava R. 16. Molina N. 1. Musso J. (G) 17. Riquelme R. 29. Serrano J. 9. Sorloth A. 20. Witsel A.	21. Amallah S. 29. Arnuncio A. 39. Aznou A. 15. Comert E. 9. Marcos Andre 11. Moro R. 19. Ndiaye A. 4. Nikitscher T. 6. Ozkacar C. 26. Rafus A. (G) 10. Sanchez I. 3. Torres D.
Coaches
Simeone D.	Rubio A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Sylla M. (Pen),
25', 1 - 1, Alvarez J. (Pen),
27', 2 - 1, Simeone G. ⚽, Barrios P. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', Lenglet C. 🟨,
56', 2 - 2, Sanchez J. ⚽,
59', Koke ↓, Riquelme R. ↑,
59', Griezmann A. ↓, Sorloth A. ↑,
60', Lenglet C. ↓, Le Normand R. ↑,
63', Anuar 🟨,
65', Gallagher C. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
71', 3 - 2, Alvarez J. (Pen),
72', Juric S. ↓, Nikitscher T. ↑,
73', Chuki ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
73', Machis D. ↓, Moro R. ↑,
74', Simeone G. ↓, Lemar T. ↑,
79', 4 - 2, Sorloth A. ⚽,
82', Anuar ↓, Amallah S. ↑,
82', Grillitsch F. ↓, Ndiaye A. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético won 5.

Atlético is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Valladolid has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Valladolid could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Atlético is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Atlético: Correa A. (Suspended)

There will not play in Valladolid: Hein K. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Atlético: Lemar T. (Injury) Lino S. (Muscle Injury) de Paul R. (Muscle Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Atlético won 12 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 32:6 (average 2.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:1 (average 2:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
06.04.25	Sevilla - Atlético Madrid	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.04.25	Atlético Madrid - Barcelona	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
29.03.25	Espanyol - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Atlético Madrid - Barcelona	2:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.03.25	Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid	1:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLTLL
- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga
06.04.25	Valladolid - Getafe	0:4 ✺
29.03.25	Real Sociedad - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Valladolid - Celta de Vigo	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Valencia - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
28.02.25	Valladolid - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
30.11.24	Valladolid - Atlético Madrid	0:5
30.04.23	Valladolid - Atlético Madrid	2:5
21.01.23	Atlético Madrid - Valladolid	3:0
22.05.21	Valladolid - Atlético Madrid	1:2
05.12.20	Atlético Madrid - Valladolid	2:0
20.06.20	Atlético Madrid - Valladolid	1:0
06.10.19	Valladolid - Atlético Madrid	0:0

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