Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 32

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio José Zorrilla (Valladolid)

Referee: Etayo G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Valladolid		Burgos

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.25	3	3.25	Watch
	2.38	3.02	3.54
	2.28	3.13	3.4	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.3
	2.29	3.15	3.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.23)	3.05 ↓ (3.08)	3.36 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid
41.3%

Draw
30.8%

Burgos
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

30.5%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

30%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44%	24%	32%

Valladolid - Burgos Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Valladolid will win (votes: 11 - 44%). Burgos will win (votes: 8 - 32%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 24%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valladolid: 24.5% – 63.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aceves A. (G) 2. Michelin C. 5. Martinez R. 4. Torres D. 18. Clerc C. 20. Chuki 24. Juric S. (C) 21. Ponceau J. 7. Canos S. 9. Latasa J. 25. Erlien V.	13. Cantero A. (G) 2. Lizancos A. 6. Gonzalez S. 8. Sierra G. 12. Miguel F. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 23. Morante I. 5. Atienza M. (C) 21. Cordoba I. 16. Curro 9. Nino F.
Substitutes
12. Alani I. 14. Alejo I. 17. Biuk S. 26. de Pablo A. (G) 23. Jaouab M. 6. Lachuer M. 16. Maroto M. 8. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 30. Modesto H. 39. Ohio N. 19. Sanseviero L. 15. Tomeo P.	15. Bunuel A. 17. Cantero M. 28. del Cerro S. 33. Exposito M. 4. Galdames P. 31. Garcia F. 20. Gonzalez M. 3. Luengo O. 22. Martinez B. 7. Mejia M. 11. Mollejo V. 1. Ruiz J. (G)
Coaches
Escriba F.	Ramis L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Juric S. 🟨,
14', Atienza M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Erlien V. ↓, Alejo I. ↑,
63', Nino F. 🟨,
68', Lizancos A. 🟨,
69', Nino F. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
69', Curro ↓, Mollejo V. ↑,
81', Gonzalez S. ↓, Luengo O. ↑,
81', Cordoba I. ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
82', Canos S. ↓, Biuk S. ↑,
83', Chuki ↓, Ohio N. ↑,
85', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 🟨,
90+3', 0 - 1, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. (Penalty Awarded),
90+4', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
90+5', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Bunuel A. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 2.

Valladolid has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Burgos is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Valladolid could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Valladolid: Bueno G. (Injury) Garriel I. (Injury) Marcos Andre (Knee Injury) Ndiaye A. (Leg Injury) Peter Federico (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Valladolid: Guilherme Fernandes (Injury)

There are questionable in Burgos: Sierra G. (Broken nose)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Valladolid won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 2.8:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Burgos CF	8	4	2	2	12:9	3	14
16	Valladolid	8	2	3	3	8:11	-3	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
22.03.26	Mirandés - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Valladolid - Leganés	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Málaga - Valladolid	3:3 ✺
28.02.26	Valladolid - Huesca	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Sporting de Gijón - Valladolid	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWTWT
- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
22.03.26	Burgos - Córdoba	4:0 ✺
15.03.26	Eibar - Burgos	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Burgos - Mirandés	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Zaragoza - Burgos	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Racing Santander - Burgos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
12.10.25	Burgos - Valladolid	0:1
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Burgos - Valladolid	2:2
27.07.24	Valladolid - Burgos	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
13.01.24	Burgos - Valladolid	1:0
01.10.23	Valladolid - Burgos	3:0
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Burgos - Valladolid	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
08.01.22	Valladolid - Burgos	1:0

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