Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 10

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio José Zorrilla (Valladolid)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, Orange Futbol 2
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Valladolid		Sporting de Gijón

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.95	3.5	Watch
	2	3.15	3.75
	2.29	3.2	3.53
	2.42	2.76	3.48	Watch
	2.01	3.24	3.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.92)	3.06 ↓ (3.47)	3.62 ↓ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid
43.3%

Draw
30.7%

Sporting de Gijón
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

26.9%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

23.1%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valladolid's form might have worsened.

Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	6.7%	0%

Valladolid - Sporting de Gijón Predictions

Users Predictions: Valladolid will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Valladolid will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Guilherme Fernandes (G) 2. Trilli 15. Tomeo P. 4. Torres D. 3. Bueno G. 8. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 24. Juric S. (C) 22. Peter Federico 20. Chuki 17. Biuk S. 9. Latasa J.	1. Yanez R. (G) 2. Rosas G. 15. Vazquez P. 4. Perrin L. 5. Sanchez D. 24. Smith J. 14. Corredera A. 17. Dubasin J. 10. Gelabert Pina C. 7. Campos G. (C) 19. Otero J.
Substitutes
1. Aceves A. (G) 12. Alani I. 18. Delgado J. 23. Jaouab M. 32. Koke 6. Lachuer M. 10. Marcos Andre 16. Maroto M. 30. Modesto H. 28. Moreno X. 21. Ponceau J. 5. Sanchez J.	9. Caicedo J. 16. Cortes O. 18. Coundoul A. 23. Curbelo E. 3. Garcia P. 22. Kembo Y. 21. Loum M. 26. Martinez I. 6. Martin N. 11. Queipo D. 30. Venteo I. (G)
Coaches
Almada G.	Jimenez B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Otero J. ⚽, Dubasin J. (A),
19', Corredera A. 🟨,
25', 1 - 1, Peter Federico ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 1 - 2, Otero J. (Pen),
59', Campos G. 🟨,
60', Chuki ↓, Ponceau J. ↑,
60', Meseguer Cavas V. A. ↓, Marcos Andre ↑,
72', Campos G. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
74', Trilli ↓, Lachuer M. ↑,
78', Garcia P. 🟨,
79', 1 - 3, Dubasin J. ⚽, Gelabert Pina C. (A),
84', Dubasin J. ↓, Martin N. ↑,
84', Latasa J. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 3, Delgado J. ⚽, Ponceau J. (A),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 4.

Valladolid has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sporting de Gijón is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Valladolid will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Valladolid: Alejo I. (Yellow Cards) Maroto M. (Health problems) Ndiaye A. (Face Injury)

There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Bernal J. (Injury) Joel C. (Surgery) Vazquez K. (Red Card)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:9. (average 1.6:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Valladolid won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:2. (average 1.8:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
12.10.25	Burgos - Valladolid	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Valladolid - Mirandés	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Valladolid - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Albacete Balompié - Valladolid	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Valladolid - Almería	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTLLW
- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2
12.10.25	Sporting de Gijón - Racing Santander	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Castellón - Sporting de Gijón	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	Sporting de Gijón - Albacete Balompié	3:4 ✺
20.09.25	Almería - Sporting de Gijón	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Sporting de Gijón - Burgos	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
17.02.24	Sporting de Gijón - Valladolid	1:1
11.08.23	Valladolid - Sporting de Gijón	2:0
28.01.22	Valladolid - Sporting de Gijón	1:0
23.10.21	Sporting de Gijón - Valladolid	1:2
Club Friendly
08.08.19	Valladolid - Sporting de Gijón	2:0
Spanish LaLiga2
10.06.18	Sporting de Gijón - Valladolid	1:2
07.06.18	Valladolid - Sporting de Gijón	3:1

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