Match Info

Date: 1 October 2022, Saturday


	Valledupar		Barranquilla

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.95	2.8
	2.45	3.25	2.8
	2.32	3	2.85
	2.49	3.22	2.89
	2.38	2.9	2.9
	2.38	3.18	2.8
	2.46	3.05	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.5)	3.08 ↓ (3.2)	2.83 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valledupar
38.1%

Draw
29.7%

Barranquilla
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

29.3%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valledupar than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	44.4%	22.2%

Valledupar - Barranquilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Valledupar will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Barranquilla will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valledupar won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Valledupar will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Valledupar won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Valledupar won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valledupar FC
Colombian Primera B
24.09.22	Valledupar - Leones	3:3 ✺
18.09.22	Cúcuta Deportivo - Valledupar	2:1 ✺
11.09.22	Valledupar - Atlético Cali	1:0 ✺
07.09.22	Real Santander - Valledupar	1:0 ✺
03.09.22	Valledupar - Real Cartagena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLWLT
- Barranquilla FC
Colombian Primera B
24.09.22	Barranquilla - Real Cartagena	2:3 ✺
20.09.22	Atlético Cali - Barranquilla	3:2 ✺
13.09.22	Barranquilla - Real Santander	2:1 ✺
06.09.22	Fortaleza CEIF - Barranquilla	3:0 ✺
03.09.22	Barranquilla - Atlético Huila	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
16.04.22	Barranquilla - Valledupar	1:1
25.08.21	Barranquilla - Valledupar	2:1
21.03.21	Valledupar - Barranquilla	2:0
14.11.20	Valledupar - Barranquilla	2:1
09.11.20	Barranquilla - Valledupar	0:0
13.10.20	Barranquilla - Valledupar	0:0
14.09.19	Valledupar - Barranquilla	1:0

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