Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA B - APERTURA - ROUND 14

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday


	Valledupar		Leones

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.95	2.75
	2.6	2.8	2.8
	2.5	3.07	3.14
	2.45	2.88	2.8
	2.42	3.1	2.86
	2.46	3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.28)	2.97 ↓ (3.05)	2.85 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valledupar
37.1%

Draw
30.8%

Leones
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

30.3%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

29.6%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Leones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valledupar than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Valledupar - Leones Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valledupar won 1.

Valledupar is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Leones is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Valledupar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Valledupar won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Valledupar won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valledupar FC
Colombian Primera B
20.04.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Valledupar	5:1 ✺
16.04.23	Valledupar - Bogotá	0:2 ✺
10.04.23	Patriotas - Valledupar	0:0 ✺
02.04.23	Valledupar - Deportes Quindío	1:1 ✺
29.03.23	Barranquilla - Valledupar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLTTT
- Leones FC
Colombian Primera B
19.04.23	Barranquilla - Leones	2:3 ✺
15.04.23	Leones - Internacional de Palmira	2:2 ✺
10.04.23	Bogotá - Leones	4:3 ✺
02.04.23	Leones - Real Santander	1:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
29.03.23	Deportivo Cali - Leones	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
24.03.23	Leones - Valledupar	0:2
24.09.22	Valledupar - Leones	3:3
27.08.22	Leones - Valledupar	1:0
06.02.22	Valledupar - Leones	0:1
31.07.21	Valledupar - Leones	1:1
27.02.21	Valledupar - Leones	0:1
18.12.20	Valledupar - Leones	0:0

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