Match Info

Date: 3 September 2022, Saturday


	Valledupar		Real Cartagena

	1	X	2
	1.93	3	3.8
	1.9	3.25	3.6
	1.96	3.05	3.7
	2.02	3.26	4.09
	1.95	3	3.8
	1.96	3.18	3.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.83)	3.12 ↓ (3.43)	3.79 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valledupar
46.7%

Draw
29.2%

Real Cartagena
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

26.2%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

25.3%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Real Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valledupar than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Cartagena than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Valledupar - Real Cartagena Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Valledupar will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Real Cartagena will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 16).

The competitors look crappy now.

Valledupar will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Valledupar won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Valledupar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valledupar FC
Colombian Primera B
27.08.22	Leones - Valledupar	1:0 ✺
22.08.22	Valledupar - Bogotá	3:3 ✺
14.08.22	Valledupar - Tigres	1:1 ✺
08.08.22	Boca Juniors de Cali - Valledupar	2:0 ✺
04.08.22	Valledupar - Llaneros SA	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTTLT
- Real Cartagena
Colombian Primera B
30.08.22	Real Cartagena - Barranquilla	2:2 ✺
23.08.22	Boyacá Chicó - Real Cartagena	4:0 ✺
16.08.22	Real Cartagena - Real Santander	2:2 ✺
07.08.22	Fortaleza CEIF - Real Cartagena	3:1 ✺
03.08.22	Real Cartagena - Orsomarso	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
03.05.22	Real Cartagena - Valledupar	1:2
27.07.21	Real Cartagena - Valledupar	2:2
08.02.21	Valledupar - Real Cartagena	2:0

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