Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA B - APERTURA - ROUND 10

Date: 2 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Cota (Cota)


	Fortaleza CEIF		Barranquilla

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.9	6
	1.47	3.85	6.4
	1.45	4.44	7.47
	1.44	3.6	7
	1.43	4.15	6.85
	1.46	3.9	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.93)	3.97 ↑ (3.2)	6.65 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza CEIF
63.2%

Draw
23%

Barranquilla
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

28.6%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

27.7%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza CEIF's performance.

Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barranquilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortaleza CEIF that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barranquilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fortaleza CEIF - Barranquilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 4.

Recent matches Fortaleza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barranquilla is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barranquilla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fortaleza is certain favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Fortaleza won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Copa
30.03.23	Unión Magdalena - Fortaleza CEIF	4:2 ✺
Colombian Primera B
24.03.23	Patriotas - Fortaleza CEIF	3:0 ✺
20.03.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Llaneros SA	1:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
15.03.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Unión Magdalena	2:1 ✺
Colombian Primera B
12.03.23	Leones - Fortaleza CEIF	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLTWT
- Barranquilla FC
Colombian Primera B
29.03.23	Barranquilla - Valledupar	0:0 ✺
26.03.23	Real Cartagena - Barranquilla	0:3 ✺
20.03.23	Barranquilla - Patriotas	1:2 ✺
11.03.23	Bogotá - Barranquilla	2:0 ✺
08.03.23	Barranquilla - Internacional de Palmira	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
01.11.22	Fortaleza CEIF - Barranquilla	1:0
18.10.22	Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF	0:1
06.09.22	Fortaleza CEIF - Barranquilla	3:0
03.05.22	Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF	0:1
04.09.21	Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF	0:0
15.02.21	Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF	1:2

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