Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA B - APERTURA - ROUND 13

Date: 20 April 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Cota (Cota)


	Fortaleza CEIF		Valledupar

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.63	3.2	5.25
	1.7	3.4	5.25
	1.67	3.54	6.02
	1.63	3.2	5.5
	1.63	3.48	5.4
	1.68	3.3	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.71)	3.35 ↓ (3.61)	5.39 ↑ (5.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza CEIF
55.5%

Draw
27.4%

Valledupar
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

26.1%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

25.5%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valledupar than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	38.5%	0%

Fortaleza CEIF - Valledupar Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortaleza: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Fortaleza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Fortaleza have a series of guest games.

In this match Fortaleza is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Fortaleza won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera B
16.04.23	Real Cartagena - Fortaleza CEIF	0:0 ✺
13.04.23	Boca Juniors de Cali - Fortaleza CEIF	0:0 ✺
09.04.23	Internacional de Palmira - Fortaleza CEIF	0:1 ✺
02.04.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Barranquilla	3:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
30.03.23	Unión Magdalena - Fortaleza CEIF	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TTWWL
- Valledupar FC
Colombian Primera B
16.04.23	Valledupar - Bogotá	0:2 ✺
10.04.23	Patriotas - Valledupar	0:0 ✺
02.04.23	Valledupar - Deportes Quindío	1:1 ✺
29.03.23	Barranquilla - Valledupar	0:0 ✺
24.03.23	Leones - Valledupar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
08.10.22	Fortaleza CEIF - Valledupar	3:1
10.04.22	Valledupar - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1
Colombian Copa
17.03.22	Fortaleza CEIF - Valledupar	1:1
02.03.22	Valledupar - Fortaleza CEIF	0:2
Colombian Primera B
03.10.21	Valledupar - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1
23.02.21	Fortaleza CEIF - Valledupar	3:2

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