Match Info

Virsliga - Round 17

Date: 12 June 2026, Friday

Location: Tukuma pilsētas stadions (Tukums)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Sportacentrs TV, Virsliga Plus


	Tukums 2000		BFC Daugavpils

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.37	3.25	2.50
	2.62	3.35	2.42	Watch
	2.8	3.65	2.43
	2.49	3.46	2.65	Watch
	2.6	3.3	2.38
	2.73	3.32	2.49	Watch
	2.65	3.2	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (3.25)	3.36 ↑ (3.2)	2.44 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tukums 2000
35.2%

Draw
27.3%

BFC Daugavpils
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

28.4%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

26.8%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tukums 2000 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tukums 2000's performance.

BFC Daugavpils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and BFC Daugavpils might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tukums 2000 than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tukums 2000 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Tukums 2000 - BFC Daugavpils Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Tukums 2000 will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Daugavpils will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Baturins I. (G) 8. Reingolcs R. 88. Stals M. 17. Derkach M. 46. Enyou A. 6. Volkovs K. 10. Samoilovs B. (C) 4. Anmanis Kaspars 7. Shibata S. 11. Leoni 19. Oloko E.	12. Beks J. (G) 37. Mihalcovs G. 5. Papa 20. Taty C. 34. Ouled-Haj-M'hand Z. 10. Ivanovs E. (C) 4. Mukwelle W. 11. Yakubu J. 22. Garzha A. 9. Traore A. 15. Ndjiki R.
Substitutes
22. Baumanis R. 27. Deruzinskis R. 15. Kirss R. 16. Klavins K. 28. Melkis R. 35. Minajevs K. (G) 30. Susts M. 5. Toba J. 21. Valmiers D.	77. Aizups R. 3. Baikovs R. 97. Kivinda D. 27. Kopilovs M. 42. Saveljevs A. 1. Saveljevs J. (G) 8. Skrebels R. 7. Sylla M. 26. Vibans R.
Coaches
Dislers K.	Kurbatov K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Volkovs K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Volkovs K. 🟨,
49', Leoni ↓, Susts M. ↑,
61', Garzha A. ↓, Sylla M. ↑,
65', Reingolcs R. ↓, Melkis R. ↑,
65', Samoilovs B. ↓, Toba J. ↑,
68', Ouled-Haj-M'hand Z. ↓, Skrebels R. ↑,
75', 1 - 0, Melkis R. ⚽, Derkach M. (A),
80', Traore A. ↓, Kivinda D. ↑,
82', Anmanis Kaspars ↓, Baumanis R. ↑,
83', Derkach M. ↓, Valmiers D. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Ndjiki R. ⚽, Yakubu J. (A),

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 6)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 1.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Recently, Tukums 2000 has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:33. (average 0.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Tukums 2000 won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.7:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	BFC Daugavpils	31	10	9	12	35:35	0	39
9	Tukums 2000	31	5	9	17	44:61	-17	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tukums 2000
Latvian Virsliga
30.05.26	Liepāja - Tukums 2000	3:0 ✺
25.05.26	RFS - Tukums 2000	3:1 ✺
20.05.26	Tukums 2000 - Riga	1:3 ✺
15.05.26	Grobiņa - Tukums 2000	3:3 ✺
11.05.26	Super Nova - Tukums 2000	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLTT
- BFC Daugavpils
Latvian Virsliga
31.05.26	Jelgava - BFC Daugavpils	1:1 ✺
26.05.26	BFC Daugavpils - Auda Riga	0:1 ✺
21.05.26	BFC Daugavpils - Ogre United	3:1 ✺
17.05.26	Liepāja - BFC Daugavpils	2:1 ✺
13.05.26	BFC Daugavpils - RFS	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
21.04.26	Tukums 2000 - BFC Daugavpils	1:1
30.08.25	Tukums 2000 - BFC Daugavpils	0:1
21.06.25	BFC Daugavpils - Tukums 2000	1:2
30.04.25	Tukums 2000 - BFC Daugavpils	0:0
07.03.25	BFC Daugavpils - Tukums 2000	3:0
21.09.24	Tukums 2000 - BFC Daugavpils	0:0
03.07.24	Tukums 2000 - BFC Daugavpils	1:2

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