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Current Win Probability
Valour 24.8%
Draw 26.5%
Atlético Ottawa 48.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
13.5%
20.7%
65.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
13.1%
20.1%
67.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valour has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valour's performance.
Atlético Ottawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Ottawa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valour than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valour that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Ottawa than the current prediction. (+19%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Ottawa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Valour - Atlético Ottawa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Himaras E. (G) 2. Alarcon R. 4. Konincks D. 23. Facchineri G. 30. Antonoglou T. 27. Ohin R. (C) 11. Twardek K. 80. Froese K. 8. Ressurreicao D. 17. Faria J. 21. Morgan M.
29. Ingham N. (C) 28. Cloutier L. 23. Abatneh N. A. S. 84. Kozlovskiy S. 11. Antinoro G. 2. Castro J. 10. Aparicio M. 19. Santos K. 7. Rodriguez D. 13. Tabla B. 9. Salter S.
Substitutes
5. Egwu K. 28. Figueiredo B. 99. Gazdov E. (G) 9. Pop E. 3. Romeo R. 20. Venancio X. 18. Voytsekhovskyi M.
14. Assi J. 20. Coulanges J. 1. Crampton T. (G) 18. Mbomio R. 6. Ortega K. 12. Patterson M. 21. Zapater A.
Coaches
Dos Santos P.
Mejia D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Twardek K. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Tabla B. ⚽, Rodriguez D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
56', 1 - 2, Salter S. ⚽, Tabla B. (A),
60', Konincks D. 🟨,
71', 2 - 2, Antonoglou T. ⚽,
85', Antinoro G. ↓, Assi J. ↑,
88', 2 - 3, Tabla B. ⚽,
89', Facchineri G. 🟨,
90', Cloutier L. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valour won 0.
In recent matches, Valour has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Atlético Ottawa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Valour may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Atlético Ottawa has had a series of home games.
In this match, Atlético Ottawa is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valour won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:38. (average 1.2:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Valour won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).
Canada
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Himaras E. (G) 
Alarcon R. 
Konincks D. 
Ohin R. (C) 
Ressurreicao D. 
Castro J. 
Rodriguez D. 
Pop E. 
Voytsekhovskyi M. 
Mbomio R. 
Patterson M. 
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