Match Info

Canadian Premier League

Date: 11 September 2025, Thursday

Location: Princess Auto Stadium (Winnipeg, MB)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	OneSoccer
Usa	Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com


	Valour		Forge

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.4	1.71
	4.45	3.5	1.65
	4.45	3.9	1.7
	10.99	4.96	1.29	Watch
	4.77	3.64	1.63	Watch
	4.7	3.9	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.58 ↑ (4.7)	3.88 ↓ (3.9)	1.6 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valour
16.9%

Draw
24.2%

Forge
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

23.5%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

22.9%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valour has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Forge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valour than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forge than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Valour - Forge Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Valour (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Forge (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Gazdov E. (G) 2. Alarcon R. 4. Konincks D. 23. Facchineri G. 30. Antonoglou T. 27. Ohin R. (C) 11. Twardek K. 8. Ressurreicao D. 80. Froese K. 17. Faria J. 21. Morgan M.	1. Koleilat J. (G) 22. Jensen N. 5. Nimick D. 13. Achinioti-Jonsson A. 6. Paton B. 8. Cisse E. 10. Bekker K. (C) 17. Massunda H. 19. Borges T. 7. Choiniere D. 9. Wright B.
Substitutes
5. Egwu K. 28. Figueiredo B. 1. Himaras E. (G) 9. Pop E. 3. Romeo R. 14. van Hattum O. 20. Venancio X.	18. Babouli M. 36. Bontis D. (G) 32. Bruno Z. 3. Jevremovic M. 14. Klonaridis V. 41. Kone A. 28. Lipovschek K.
Coaches
Dos Santos P.	Smyrniotis B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Borges T. ⚽, Massunda H. (A),
40', Cisse E. 🟨,
43', Antonoglou T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', 1 - 1, Froese K. ⚽,
64', 2 - 1, Froese K. ⚽,
70', Froese K. ↓, Figueiredo B. ↑,
70', Ressurreicao D. ↓, Venancio X. ↑,
70', Paton B. ↓, Jevremovic M. ↑,
71', Jensen N. ↓, Babouli M. ↑,
73', Jevremovic M. 🟨,
77', Choiniere D. ↓, Kone A. ↑,
77', Bekker K. ↓, Bruno Z. ↑,
82', Morgan M. ↓, Pop E. ↑,
84', Ohin R. 🟨,
90+2', Antonoglou T. ↓, Egwu K. ↑,
90+2', Borges T. ↓, Lipovschek K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valour won 1.

Valour has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Forge is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Forge is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valour won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:32. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Valour won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valour FC
Canadian Premier League
05.09.25	Vancouver FC - Valour	2:5 ✺
31.08.25	Valour - Pacific FC	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	HFX Wanderers - Valour	4:1 ✺
17.08.25	Valour - Inter Toronto	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Valour - Atlético Ottawa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTLTL
- Forge FC
Canadian Premier League
06.09.25	Forge - HFX Wanderers	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Cavalry - Forge	4:1 ✺
22.08.25	Vancouver FC - Forge	0:1 ✺
17.08.25	Forge - Atlético Ottawa	2:0 ✺
Canadian Championship
13.08.25	Forge - Vancouver Whitecaps	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Canadian Premier League
02.08.25	Forge - Valour	5:0
22.06.25	Valour - Forge	0:5
19.04.25	Forge - Valour	1:1
06.10.24	Valour - Forge	0:1
04.08.24	Valour - Forge	2:1
23.06.24	Forge - Valour	2:1
27.04.24	Forge - Valour	2:1

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