Match Info

Canadian Premier League

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday

Location: Willoughby Community Park Stadium (Langley, BC)

Referee: Boumsied Y. (Can)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	OneSoccer
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus


	Vancouver FC		Valour

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	3
	2.12	3.4	2.88
	2.02	3.67	3.42
	1.46	4.40	6.43	Watch
	2.13	3.42	2.97	Watch
	2.35	3.4	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.35)	3.6 ↑ (3.45)	3.54 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vancouver FC
47%

Draw
26.3%

Valour
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

26.5%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

26.1%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vancouver FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vancouver FC's performance.

Valour has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valour might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vancouver FC than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vancouver FC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valour than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valour could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vancouver FC - Valour Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Vancouver FC (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vancouver FC (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Irving C. (C) 3. Dada-Luke K. 13. Norman D. 15. O'Connor A. 2. Gee P. 6. Fry V. 16. Michel 14. Campbell T. 20. Mezquida N. 7. Bah E. 9. Mbongue H.	99. Gazdov E. (G) 23. Facchineri G. 4. Konincks D. 5. Egwu K. 2. Alarcon R. 27. Ohin R. (C) 11. Twardek K. 8. Ressurreicao D. 80. Froese K. 17. Faria J. 21. Morgan M.
Substitutes
4. Enyou A. 11. Herdman J. 41. Jaramillo Drolet F. (G) 10. Juan Batista 23. Ouattara A. 25. Pathe N. 18. Powell T.	30. Antonoglou T. 28. Figueiredo B. 1. Himaras E. (G) 9. Pop E. 14. van Hattum O. 20. Venancio X. 18. Voytsekhovskyi M.
Coaches
Nash M.	Dos Santos P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
1', 1 - 0, Campbell T. ⚽, Mbongue H. (A),
16', 1 - 1, Morgan M. ⚽, Froese K. (A),
44', 1 - 2, Morgan M. ⚽, Froese K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
47', 1 - 3, Faria J. ⚽, Froese K. (A),
61', 1 - 4, Morgan M. ⚽, Ressurreicao D. (A),
62', Campbell T. ↓, Herdman J. ↑,
65', 2 - 4, Mbongue H. ⚽, Herdman J. (A),
69', Ressurreicao D. ↓, Figueiredo B. ↑,
69', Froese K. ↓, Venancio X. ↑,
69', Norman D. 🟨,
76', Michel ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
77', Mezquida N. ↓, Pathe N. ↑,
80', Faria J. ↓, Antonoglou T. ↑,
80', Morgan M. ↓, Pop E. ↑,
85', Pathe N. 🟨,
90', Twardek K. ↓, van Hattum O. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 5, Figueiredo B. ⚽, Antonoglou T. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vancouver FC won 2.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Vancouver FC won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Vancouver FC won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vancouver FC
Canadian Premier League
30.08.25	Atlético Ottawa - Vancouver FC	3:1 ✺
22.08.25	Vancouver FC - Forge	0:1 ✺
17.08.25	Cavalry - Vancouver FC	5:4 ✺
Canadian Championship
13.08.25	Vancouver FC - Atlético Ottawa	3:1 ✺
Canadian Premier League
10.08.25	Vancouver FC - Pacific FC	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLLWL
- Valour FC
Canadian Premier League
31.08.25	Valour - Pacific FC	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	HFX Wanderers - Valour	4:1 ✺
17.08.25	Valour - Inter Toronto	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Valour - Atlético Ottawa	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	Forge - Valour	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Canadian Premier League
25.07.25	Vancouver FC - Valour	1:3
04.06.25	Valour - Vancouver FC	3:1
03.05.25	Valour - Vancouver FC	1:3
13.10.24	Vancouver FC - Valour	1:1
25.08.24	Valour - Vancouver FC	1:2
02.06.24	Valour - Vancouver FC	2:0
14.04.24	Vancouver FC - Valour	4:1

Upcoming Matches