Match Info

Canadian Premier League

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday

Location: Wanderers Grounds (Halifax, NS)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	OneSoccer
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus


	HFX Wanderers		Valour

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.7	4.33
	1.58	3.85	4.55
	1.6	4.25	4.71
	1.65	3.99	4.67	Watch
	1.64	4.07	4.69	Watch
	1.57	4	4.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.57)	3.98 ↓ (4)	4.59 (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HFX Wanderers
56.9%

Draw
23.1%

Valour
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

22.6%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

22.8%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HFX Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Valour has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HFX Wanderers than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valour than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

HFX Wanderers - Valour Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Yesli Y. (G) 5. Pearlman A. 8. Johnston I. 9. Coimbra T. 6. Callegari L. 10. Rea S. 7. Telfer R. (C) 11. Vitor Dias 26. Meilleur-Gigeuere T. 21. Alphonse J. 16. Sow K.	99. Gazdov E. (G) 2. Alarcon R. 9. Pop E. 11. Twardek K. 3. Romeo R. 21. Morgan M. 5. Egwu K. 23. Facchineri G. (C) 64. Mlah S. 30. Antonoglou T. 28. Figueiredo B.
Substitutes
14. Bahamboula J. 19. Bai Y. 23. Biello A. 4. Dunn J. 18. Rampersad A. 13. Rushenas A. (G) 17. Timoteo W.	17. Faria J. 1. Himaras E. (G) 4. Konincks D. 19. Layne J. 8. Ressurreicao D. 20. Venancio X. 18. Voytsekhovskyi M.
Coaches
Gheisar P.	Dos Santos P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Facchineri G. (Own goal),
40', Alphonse J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
57', 2 - 0, Coimbra T. (Pen),
59', Mlah S. ↓, Ressurreicao D. ↑,
73', 3 - 0, Coimbra T. ⚽, Rea S. (A),
74', Egwu K. ↓, Venancio X. ↑,
74', Pop E. ↓, Faria J. ↑,
74', Venancio X. 🟨,
75', Vitor Dias ↓, Rampersad A. ↑,
76', Alphonse J. ↓, Timoteo W. ↑,
76', Romeo R. ↓, Konincks D. ↑,
77', 4 - 0, Coimbra T. ⚽, Johnston I. (A),
78', Coimbra T. 🟨,
79', Johnston I. ↓, Biello A. ↑,
83', 4 - 1, Ressurreicao D. ⚽,
85', Coimbra T. ↓, Bahamboula J. ↑,
85', Pearlman A. ↓, Dunn J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HFX Wanderers won 3.

HFX Wanderers is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Valour has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, HFX Wanderers is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HFX Wanderers won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, HFX Wanderers won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:4. (average 1.7:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HFX Wanderers
Canadian Premier League
16.08.25	Pacific FC - HFX Wanderers	2:2 ✺
09.08.25	Cavalry - HFX Wanderers	0:0 ✺
04.08.25	HFX Wanderers - Vancouver FC	1:2 ✺
25.07.25	HFX Wanderers - Forge	1:2 ✺
18.07.25	Atlético Ottawa - HFX Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTLLL
- Valour FC
Canadian Premier League
17.08.25	Valour - Inter Toronto	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Valour - Atlético Ottawa	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	Forge - Valour	5:0 ✺
29.07.25	Valour - Cavalry	2:1 ✺
25.07.25	Vancouver FC - Valour	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Canadian Premier League
01.07.25	HFX Wanderers - Valour	3:1
25.04.25	Valour - HFX Wanderers	0:1
21.09.24	Valour - HFX Wanderers	1:1
17.08.24	Valour - HFX Wanderers	2:1
18.07.24	HFX Wanderers - Valour	3:1
20.05.24	HFX Wanderers - Valour	1:2
06.10.23	Valour - HFX Wanderers	0:1

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