Match Info

Canadian Premier League

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Princess Auto Stadium (Winnipeg, MB)

Referee: Souare M. (Can)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	OneSoccer
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus


	Valour		Inter Toronto

	1	X	2
	3	3.25	2.1
	3.05	3.15	2.12
	3.08	3.2	2.1
	3.34	2.84	2.39	Watch
	3.1	3.22	2.15	Watch
	2.95	3.8	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.95)	3.24 ↓ (3.8)	2.17 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valour
29.6%

Draw
28.2%

Inter Toronto
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

24.7%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

24.1%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valour has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Inter Toronto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valour than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Toronto than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Valour - Inter Toronto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Gazdov E. (G) 23. Facchineri G. 3. Romeo R. 5. Egwu K. 11. Twardek K. 21. Morgan M. 27. Ohin R. (C) 30. Antonoglou T. 28. Figueiredo B. 64. Mlah S. 18. Voytsekhovskyi M.	1. Urtiaga D. (G) 3. Singh L. 5. Sturing F. 21. Kibato K. 16. Ferrari M. 8. Adekugbe E. (C) 7. Yeates S. 17. Lopez L. 19. Jimoh S. 11. Ferrin M. 18. Altobelli J.
Substitutes
2. Alarcon R. 17. Faria J. 19. Layne J. 9. Pop E. 8. Ressurreicao D. 20. Venancio X. 33. Weir C. (G)	32. Accettola L. 20. Bitar G. 15. DaSilva C. 62. Higgins N. 9. Hundal S. 12. Pavela I. (G) 10. Reid A.
Coaches
Dos Santos P.	Eustaquio M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53:07, Figueiredo B. 🟨,
55:15, Egwu K. 🟨,
57:20, Mlah S. 🟨,
61:13, Mlah S. ↓, Alarcon R. ↑,
61:18, Voytsekhovskyi M. ↓, Ressurreicao D. ↑,
61:22, Figueiredo B. ↓, Faria J. ↑,
65:49, Altobelli J. ↓, Hundal S. ↑,
67:43, Ohin R. 🟨,
70:41, Sturing F. 🟨,
72:30, Jimoh S. ↓, Reid A. ↑,
80:58, Morgan M. ↓, Pop E. ↑,
84:10, Ferrin M. ↓, Bitar G. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valour won 2.

In recent matches, Valour has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

York United is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Valour may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

York United could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valour won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:27. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Valour won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valour FC
Canadian Premier League
10.08.25	Valour - Atlético Ottawa	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	Forge - Valour	5:0 ✺
29.07.25	Valour - Cavalry	2:1 ✺
25.07.25	Vancouver FC - Valour	1:3 ✺
20.07.25	Valour - Cavalry	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LLWWL
- Inter Toronto FC
Canadian Premier League
09.08.25	Inter Toronto - Forge	1:2 ✺
03.08.25	Atlético Ottawa - Inter Toronto	0:0 ✺
26.07.25	Cavalry - Inter Toronto	0:1 ✺
19.07.25	Inter Toronto - Vancouver FC	4:0 ✺
13.07.25	Inter Toronto - Valour	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Canadian Premier League
13.07.25	Inter Toronto - Valour	3:2
16.05.25	Valour - Inter Toronto	2:1
13.09.24	Inter Toronto - Valour	1:1
11.08.24	Valour - Inter Toronto	0:1
27.06.24	Valour - Inter Toronto	1:0
10.05.24	Inter Toronto - Valour	3:1
08.09.23	Inter Toronto - Valour	1:3

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