Match Info

Canadian Premier League

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Tim Hortons Field (Hamilton, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	OneSoccer
Usa	Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com


	Forge		Valour

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.9	5.25
	1.42	4.1	5.9
	1.48	4.42	6.82
	1.49	4.49	5.62	Watch
	1.49	4.52	5.74	Watch
	1.57	3.8	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.57)	4.21 ↑ (3.94)	5.68 ↑ (4.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forge
61.8%

Draw
21.9%

Valour
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

23%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

21.9%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Valour has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forge than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valour than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Forge - Valour Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Forge (1.84) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

EH -1 - Forge (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Forge will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Forge will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Forge (votes: 11 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koleilat J. (G) 24. Rama R. 5. Nimick D. 13. Achinioti-Jonsson A. 3. Jevremovic M. 19. Borges T. 10. Bekker K. (C) 11. Ampomah N. 18. Babouli M. 7. Choiniere D. 9. Wright B.	33. Weir C. (G) 13. Fernandez Z. 23. Facchineri G. 5. Egwu K. 30. Antonoglou T. 27. Ohin R. (C) 64. Mlah S. 11. Twardek K. 28. Figueiredo B. 21. Morgan M. 80. Froese K.
Substitutes
36. Bontis D. (G) 8. Cisse E. 12. Filion M. 21. Hojabrpour A. 22. Jensen N. 41. Kone A. 17. Massunda H.	2. Alarcon R. 17. Faria J. 47. Kour A. (G) 9. Pop E. 8. Ressurreicao D. 3. Romeo R. 20. Venancio X.
Coaches
Smyrniotis B.	Dos Santos P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Borges T. ⚽,
40', Fernandez Z. ↓, Alarcon R. ↑,
43', Mlah S. 🟨,
43', 2 - 0, Babouli M. ⚽,
45', 3 - 0, Ampomah N. ⚽, Bekker K. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', Froese K. ↓, Pop E. ↑,
60', Morgan M. ↓, Faria J. ↑,
67', Wright B. ↓, Massunda H. ↑,
67', Borges T. ↓, Jensen N. ↑,
67', 4 - 0, Choiniere D. ⚽,
73', 5 - 0, Jensen N. ⚽, Ampomah N. (A),
74', Nimick D. ↓, Hojabrpour A. ↑,
74', Ampomah N. ↓, Filion M. ↑,
76', Figueiredo B. ↓, Ressurreicao D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forge won 3.

Forge is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Valour has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Forge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Forge is the team to beat.

We predict that Forge will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Forge won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:26. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Forge won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forge FC
Canadian Premier League
25.07.25	HFX Wanderers - Forge	1:2 ✺
18.07.25	Forge - Pacific FC	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Atlético Ottawa - Forge	1:1 ✺
Canadian Championship
09.07.25	CF Montréal - Forge	2:2 ✺
Canadian Premier League
05.07.25	Forge - Vancouver FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWTTW
- Valour FC
Canadian Premier League
29.07.25	Valour - Cavalry	2:1 ✺
25.07.25	Vancouver FC - Valour	1:3 ✺
20.07.25	Valour - Cavalry	1:2 ✺
13.07.25	Inter Toronto - Valour	3:2 ✺
Canadian Championship
09.07.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - Valour	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Canadian Premier League
22.06.25	Valour - Forge	0:5
19.04.25	Forge - Valour	1:1
06.10.24	Valour - Forge	0:1
04.08.24	Valour - Forge	2:1
23.06.24	Forge - Valour	2:1
27.04.24	Forge - Valour	2:1
17.09.23	Valour - Forge	2:3

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