Match Info

Championship - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Princess Auto Stadium (Winnipeg, MB)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	OneSoccer
Usa	Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports 2, Foxsports.com


	Valour		Vancouver Whitecaps

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.6	1.63
	4.6	3.6	1.66
	4.55	3.45	1.69
	5.03	3.58	1.7	Watch
	4.57	3.62	1.66	Watch
	4.6	3.6	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.61 ↑ (3.95)	3.58 ↑ (3.5)	1.67 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valour
19.8%

Draw
25.5%

Vancouver Whitecaps
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

26.5%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

25.8%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valour has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Vancouver Whitecaps has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valour than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vancouver Whitecaps than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Valour - Vancouver Whitecaps Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vancouver will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vancouver (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Himaras E. (G) 13. Fernandez Z. 3. Romeo R. 23. Facchineri G. 30. Antonoglou T. 27. Ohin R. (C) 28. Figueiredo B. 11. Twardek K. 20. Venancio X. 8. Ressurreicao D. 19. Layne J.	32. Boehmer I. (C) 2. Laborda M. 12. Halbouni B. 15. Utvik B. 3. Adekugbe S. 26. Ngando J. 13. Priso-Mbongue R. 59. Badwal J. 7. Nelson J. 19. Kreilach D. 11. Sabbi E.
Substitutes
2. Alarcon R. 5. Egwu K. 17. Faria J. 10. Hundal S. 64. Mlah S. 21. Morgan M. 50. Viscosi J. (G) 12. Wandje Djomze Y. W. 7. Williams K.	22. Ahmed A. 16. Berhalter S. 27. Bovalina G. 18. Ocampo E. 54. Russo D. 4. Veselinovic R. 45. Vite P. 24. White B. 30. Zendejas A. (G)
Coaches
Dos Santos P.	Sorensen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Adekugbe S. ⚽,
7', Figueiredo B. 🟨,
28', Badwal J. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Romeo R. ⚽, Antonoglou T. (A),
38', Boehmer I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 2 - 1, Figueiredo B. ⚽, Fernandez Z. (A),
54', Halbouni B. ↓, Veselinovic R. ↑,
57', Romeo R. 🟨,
64', Venancio X. ↓, Faria J. ↑,
64', Layne J. ↓, Hundal S. ↑,
64', Kreilach D. ↓, White B. ↑,
65', Nelson J. ↓, Ahmed A. ↑,
65', Adekugbe S. ↓, Bovalina G. ↑,
67', Twardek K. 🟨,
73', Facchineri G. 🟨,
75', Twardek K. ↓, Williams K. ↑,
75', Ohin R. ↓, Mlah S. ↑,
76', Badwal J. ↓, Berhalter S. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Ahmed A. ⚽,
89', Williams K. 🟨,
90+5', Ressurreicao D. ↓, Egwu K. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Valour is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vancouver is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vancouver may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Vancouver is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Valour won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valour FC
Canadian Premier League
16.05.25	Valour - Inter Toronto	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Atlético Ottawa - Valour	5:2 ✺
03.05.25	Valour - Vancouver FC	1:3 ✺
25.04.25	Valour - HFX Wanderers	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Forge - Valour	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLLLT
- Vancouver Whitecaps
MLS
17.05.25	Austin FC - Vancouver Whitecaps	0:0 ✺
11.05.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - Los Angeles	2:2 ✺
03.05.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - Real Salt Lake	2:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
30.04.25	Inter Miami - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:3 ✺
MLS
27.04.25	Minnesota United - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Canadian Championship
11.05.22	Vancouver Whitecaps - Valour	2:0

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