Match Info

Canadian Premier League

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Princess Auto Stadium (Winnipeg, MB)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	OneSoccer


	Valour		HFX Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.3	2.18
	2.41	3.65	2.61
	2.51	3.31	2.71	Watch
	2.93	3.32	2.19	Watch
	3.3	3.35	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (3.3)	3.39 ↑ (3.35)	2.34 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valour
33%

Draw
27.4%

HFX Wanderers
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

27.2%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

25.2%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valour has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valour's performance.

HFX Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HFX Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valour than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HFX Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Valour - HFX Wanderers Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Valour (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Himaras E. (G) 2. Alarcon R. 4. Konincks D. 5. Egwu K. 30. Antonoglou T. 27. Ohin R. (C) 11. Twardek K. 80. Froese K. 8. Ressurreicao D. 17. Faria J. 21. Morgan M.	13. Rushenas A. (G) 21. Alphonse J. 26. Meilleur-Gigeuere T. (C) 44. Mekideche N. 5. Pearlman A. 6. Callegari L. 8. Johnston I. 16. Sow K. 23. Biello A. 19. Bai Y. 10. Rea S.
Substitutes
28. Figueiredo B. 99. Gazdov E. (G) 64. Mlah S. 9. Pop E. 3. Romeo R. 20. Venancio X. 18. Voytsekhovskyi M.	12. Astridge S. (G) 20. Ciccarelli T. 9. Coimbra T. 28. Gagnon-Lapare J. 24. Juricic L. 41. Vasconcelos C. 22. Walkes R.
Coaches
Dos Santos P.	Gheisar P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Pearlman A. ⚽, Biello A. (A),
40', Callegari L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', Alarcon R. 🟨,
60', Ressurreicao D. 🟨,
61', Bai Y. ↓, Coimbra T. ↑,
65', Ohin R. ↓, Venancio X. ↑,
65', Faria J. ↓, Voytsekhovskyi M. ↑,
68', Biello A. ↓, Gagnon-Lapare J. ↑,
70', Rushenas A. 🟨,
76', 0 - 2, Johnston I. ⚽, Sow K. (A),
79', Ressurreicao D. ↓, Mlah S. ↑,
79', Froese K. ↓, Figueiredo B. ↑,
81', Pearlman A. 🟨,
83', Konincks D. 🟨,
83', 0 - 3, Coimbra T. (Pen),
87', Twardek K. 🟨,
87', Alphonse J. ↓, Ciccarelli T. ↑,
87', Johnston I. ↓, Vasconcelos C. ↑,
88', Morgan M. ↓, Pop E. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valour won 1.

Valour has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

HFX Wanderers's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

HFX Wanderers is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valour won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 14:25. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Valour won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 0.9:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valour FC
Canadian Premier League
05.10.25	Valour - Atlético Ottawa	3:3 ✺
28.09.25	Inter Toronto - Valour	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Cavalry - Valour	3:0 ✺
11.09.25	Valour - Forge	2:1 ✺
05.09.25	Vancouver FC - Valour	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 TLLWW
- HFX Wanderers
Canadian Premier League
04.10.25	HFX Wanderers - Inter Toronto	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Vancouver FC - HFX Wanderers	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	HFX Wanderers - Pacific FC	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Cavalry - HFX Wanderers	3:1 ✺
06.09.25	Forge - HFX Wanderers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Canadian Premier League
22.08.25	HFX Wanderers - Valour	4:1
01.07.25	HFX Wanderers - Valour	3:1
25.04.25	Valour - HFX Wanderers	0:1
21.09.24	Valour - HFX Wanderers	1:1
17.08.24	Valour - HFX Wanderers	2:1
18.07.24	HFX Wanderers - Valour	3:1
20.05.24	HFX Wanderers - Valour	1:2

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