Match Info

JAPAN: YBC Levain Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 17 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: Prifoods Stadium (Hachinohe)

Referee: Sendachi K. (Jpn)


	Vanraure Hachinohe		Kashima Antlers

	1	X	2
	7.5	4	1.36	Watch
	7.25	4.33	1.35
	8.5	4.5	1.36	Watch
	8.44	4.57	1.37
	8.44	4.57	1.38
	8.5	4.2	1.33
	8.1	4.6	1.38	Watch
	7.8	4.4	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.07 ↑ (6.58)	4.4 ↑ (4.07)	1.36 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vanraure Hachinohe
11.4%

Draw
21%

Kashima Antlers
67.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.8%

22.4%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

21.5%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vanraure Hachinohe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vanraure Hachinohe than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Vanraure Hachinohe - Kashima Antlers Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kashima will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iida M. (G) 19. Kato S. 20. Minoda K. 51. Yukie H. 6. Shibata S. 27. Kokubun M. 14. Maezawa K. 9. Nagata K. 18. Otoizumi S. 61. Ando N. 90. Sunday O.	1. Hayakawa T. (G) 32. Nono K. 55. Ueda N. 5. Sekigawa I. 16. Sugai H. 8. Doi S. 25. Sano K. 27. Matsumura Y. 4. Milosavljevic R. 77. Guilherme Parede 36. Morooka S.
Substitutes
15. Oyama S. 31. Sakamoto R. 11. Sasaki K. 7. Sato A. 37. Shimizu Y. 25. Taniguchi Y. (G) 29. Yagishita D. 8. Yamauchi R. 45. Yumoto S.	2. Anzai K. 13. Chinen K. 15. Fujii T. 14. Higuchi Y. 29. Kajikawa Y. (G) 37. Kakita Y. 33. Nakama H. 26. Suto N. 40. Suzuki Y.
Coaches
Ishizaki N.	Popovic R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Nono K. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Shibata S. ⚽,
35', Kato S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Milosavljevic R. ↓, Higuchi Y. ↑,
46', Doi S. ↓, Chinen K. ↑,
46', Guilherme Parede ↓, Suzuki Y. ↑,
64', Matsumura Y. ↓, Kakita Y. ↑,
73', Shibata S. ↓, Yamauchi R. ↑,
79', Kokubun M. ↓, Sato A. ↑,
79', Sugai H. ↓, Anzai K. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Anzai K. ⚽,
90+1', Yamauchi R. 🟨,
90+4', Kato S. ↓, Yagishita D. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
91', Morooka S. ↓, Nakama H. ↑,
95', Yukie H. 🟨,
104', Nono K. 🟨,
106', 1 - 2, Chinen K. ⚽,
109', Nagata K. ↓, Sasaki K. ↑,
116', Suzuki Y. 🟨,
118', Popovic R. 🟨,

Preview

Vanraure is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Kashima is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kashima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kashima is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vanraure Hachinohe
Japan J3 League
14.04.24	Vanraure Hachinohe - Imabari	0:1 ✺
10.04.24	Osaka - Vanraure Hachinohe	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Vanraure Hachinohe - Ryūkyū	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Gainare Tottori - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:0 ✺
24.03.24	Vanraure Hachinohe - Nagano Parceiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTTT
- Kashima Antlers
Japan J1 League
13.04.24	Kashima Antlers - Kyoto Sanga	1:0 ✺
07.04.24	Tokyo - Kashima Antlers	2:0 ✺
03.04.24	Avispa Fukuoka - Kashima Antlers	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Kashima Antlers - Júbilo Iwata	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Kashima Antlers - Kawasaki Frontale	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLWW

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